Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs consistent with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, show Tokyo's September 2 maximum likely reaching 30–33°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow and moderate humidity around 65–70%. This positions 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes because ensemble means cluster near those thresholds, reflecting typical early-September warmth before seasonal cooling accelerates. Low precipitation risk (under 20% in most guidance) supports limited evaporative cooling, while dew points near 22–24°C sustain heat retention. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus, with 30°C and 33°C as secondary possibilities if steering patterns or cloud cover shift slightly; updated model runs overnight could refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 2?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 2?
31°C 46%
32°C 23%
30°C 16%
29°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
46%
32°C
23%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
32°C 23%
30°C 16%
29°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
26°C or below
$2,087 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$368 Vol.
1%
28°C
$293 Vol.
3%
29°C
$460 Vol.
7%
30°C
$1,061 Vol.
16%
31°C
$1,042 Vol.
46%
32°C
$1,059 Vol.
23%
33°C
$710 Vol.
6%
34°C
$415 Vol.
3%
35°C
$309 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs consistent with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, show Tokyo's September 2 maximum likely reaching 30–33°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow and moderate humidity around 65–70%. This positions 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes because ensemble means cluster near those thresholds, reflecting typical early-September warmth before seasonal cooling accelerates. Low precipitation risk (under 20% in most guidance) supports limited evaporative cooling, while dew points near 22–24°C sustain heat retention. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus, with 30°C and 33°C as secondary possibilities if steering patterns or cloud cover shift slightly; updated model runs overnight could refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,071Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs consistent with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, show Tokyo's September 2 maximum likely reaching 30–33°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow and moderate humidity around 65–70%. This positions 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes because ensemble means cluster near those thresholds, reflecting typical early-September warmth before seasonal cooling accelerates. Low precipitation risk (under 20% in most guidance) supports limited evaporative cooling, while dew points near 22–24°C sustain heat retention. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus, with 30°C and 33°C as secondary possibilities if steering patterns or cloud cover shift slightly; updated model runs overnight could refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,071Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs consistent with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, show Tokyo's September 2 maximum likely reaching 30–33°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow and moderate humidity around 65–70%. This positions 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes because ensemble means cluster near those thresholds, reflecting typical early-September warmth before seasonal cooling accelerates. Low precipitation risk (under 20% in most guidance) supports limited evaporative cooling, while dew points near 22–24°C sustain heat retention. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus, with 30°C and 33°C as secondary possibilities if steering patterns or cloud cover shift slightly; updated model runs overnight could refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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