Forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 3 point to a transitional spring pattern with southwesterly winds advecting cooler, drier air behind a frontal boundary, yielding expected overnight lows near 9–12°C. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF highlights uncertainty in exact minimums due to variable cloud cover, light precipitation chances, and wind mixing that modulates radiative cooling rates. Recent warmer conditions on September 2 (highs near 22°C) reflect lingering northerly flow, while the shift favors Pampero-like influences from the south. This genuine forecast spread—between stronger cold advection dropping below 10°C versus milder boundary-layer conditions—explains the closely matched market-implied odds near 48% for 9°C or below versus 40% for 19°C or higher, with mid-range bins reflecting trader assessment of resolution thresholds under evolving synoptic conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 3?
19°C or higher 82%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
9°C or below
49%
10°C
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
25%
15°C
2%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C or higher
82%
19°C or higher 82%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
9°C or below
$6 Vol.
49%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$7 Vol.
2%
16°C
$10 Vol.
49%
17°C
$10 Vol.
49%
18°C
$10 Vol.
49%
19°C or higher
$10 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 3 point to a transitional spring pattern with southwesterly winds advecting cooler, drier air behind a frontal boundary, yielding expected overnight lows near 9–12°C. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF highlights uncertainty in exact minimums due to variable cloud cover, light precipitation chances, and wind mixing that modulates radiative cooling rates. Recent warmer conditions on September 2 (highs near 22°C) reflect lingering northerly flow, while the shift favors Pampero-like influences from the south. This genuine forecast spread—between stronger cold advection dropping below 10°C versus milder boundary-layer conditions—explains the closely matched market-implied odds near 48% for 9°C or below versus 40% for 19°C or higher, with mid-range bins reflecting trader assessment of resolution thresholds under evolving synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$53Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 3 point to a transitional spring pattern with southwesterly winds advecting cooler, drier air behind a frontal boundary, yielding expected overnight lows near 9–12°C. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF highlights uncertainty in exact minimums due to variable cloud cover, light precipitation chances, and wind mixing that modulates radiative cooling rates. Recent warmer conditions on September 2 (highs near 22°C) reflect lingering northerly flow, while the shift favors Pampero-like influences from the south. This genuine forecast spread—between stronger cold advection dropping below 10°C versus milder boundary-layer conditions—explains the closely matched market-implied odds near 48% for 9°C or below versus 40% for 19°C or higher, with mid-range bins reflecting trader assessment of resolution thresholds under evolving synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 3 point to a transitional spring pattern with southwesterly winds advecting cooler, drier air behind a frontal boundary, yielding expected overnight lows near 9–12°C. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF highlights uncertainty in exact minimums due to variable cloud cover, light precipitation chances, and wind mixing that modulates radiative cooling rates. Recent warmer conditions on September 2 (highs near 22°C) reflect lingering northerly flow, while the shift favors Pampero-like influences from the south. This genuine forecast spread—between stronger cold advection dropping below 10°C versus milder boundary-layer conditions—explains the closely matched market-implied odds near 48% for 9°C or below versus 40% for 19°C or higher, with mid-range bins reflecting trader assessment of resolution thresholds under evolving synoptic conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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