Recent forecasts for Shenzhen show the highest temperature on September 4 most likely falling in the 27–29°C range, with market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty tied to Typhoon Saudel’s remnant circulation over the northern South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds are expected to limit daytime heating and solar insolation compared with typical early-September subtropical conditions. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory points to maxima near 28°C under mostly cloudy skies, though variations in rain timing and wind strength could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of landfall proximity will refine these projections before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 4?
28°C 31%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
18%
28°C
31%
29°C
24%
30°C
18%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
6%
28°C 31%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$1 Vol.
18%
28°C
$0 Vol.
31%
29°C
$0 Vol.
24%
30°C
$7 Vol.
18%
31°C
$0 Vol.
7%
32°C or higher
$234 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen show the highest temperature on September 4 most likely falling in the 27–29°C range, with market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty tied to Typhoon Saudel’s remnant circulation over the northern South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds are expected to limit daytime heating and solar insolation compared with typical early-September subtropical conditions. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory points to maxima near 28°C under mostly cloudy skies, though variations in rain timing and wind strength could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of landfall proximity will refine these projections before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$242Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen show the highest temperature on September 4 most likely falling in the 27–29°C range, with market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty tied to Typhoon Saudel’s remnant circulation over the northern South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds are expected to limit daytime heating and solar insolation compared with typical early-September subtropical conditions. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory points to maxima near 28°C under mostly cloudy skies, though variations in rain timing and wind strength could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of landfall proximity will refine these projections before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$242Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen show the highest temperature on September 4 most likely falling in the 27–29°C range, with market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty tied to Typhoon Saudel’s remnant circulation over the northern South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds are expected to limit daytime heating and solar insolation compared with typical early-September subtropical conditions. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory points to maxima near 28°C under mostly cloudy skies, though variations in rain timing and wind strength could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of landfall proximity will refine these projections before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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