**Recent model consensus and clearing weather patterns after early-September rain are positioning 32°C and 33°C as the leading outcomes for Wuhan's September 4 high temperature.** Forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and WeatherBug indicate highs near 31°C under clearing skies and northeast flow following scattered showers on September 2–3. PredictWind and select ensemble runs show slightly warmer potential near 33°C if daytime heating is maximized by reduced cloud cover and light winds. September climatology for Wuhan typically features afternoon maxima around 29–30°C, but the expected post-frontal subsidence and mostly sunny conditions support a modest upward bias. Market-implied probabilities (32°C at 40%, 33°C at 28.5%) reflect this narrow range of uncertainty across official guidance and numerical weather prediction spreads, with lower odds on 31°C or 34°C+ highlighting limited model divergence as of September 2. Updated runs from regional models and any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture will be the key near-term drivers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 4?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 4?
32°C 41%
33°C 29%
31°C 13%
34°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
41%
33°C
29%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 41%
33°C 29%
31°C 13%
34°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
25°C or below
$118 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$274 Vol.
2%
29°C
$50 Vol.
2%
30°C
$134 Vol.
5%
31°C
$333 Vol.
13%
32°C
$346 Vol.
41%
33°C
$104 Vol.
29%
34°C
$318 Vol.
8%
35°C or higher
$135 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and clearing weather patterns after early-September rain are positioning 32°C and 33°C as the leading outcomes for Wuhan's September 4 high temperature.**
Forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and WeatherBug indicate highs near 31°C under clearing skies and northeast flow following scattered showers on September 2–3. PredictWind and select ensemble runs show slightly warmer potential near 33°C if daytime heating is maximized by reduced cloud cover and light winds.
September climatology for Wuhan typically features afternoon maxima around 29–30°C, but the expected post-frontal subsidence and mostly sunny conditions support a modest upward bias. Market-implied probabilities (32°C at 40%, 33°C at 28.5%) reflect this narrow range of uncertainty across official guidance and numerical weather prediction spreads, with lower odds on 31°C or 34°C+ highlighting limited model divergence as of September 2. Updated runs from regional models and any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,235Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and clearing weather patterns after early-September rain are positioning 32°C and 33°C as the leading outcomes for Wuhan's September 4 high temperature.**
Forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and WeatherBug indicate highs near 31°C under clearing skies and northeast flow following scattered showers on September 2–3. PredictWind and select ensemble runs show slightly warmer potential near 33°C if daytime heating is maximized by reduced cloud cover and light winds.
September climatology for Wuhan typically features afternoon maxima around 29–30°C, but the expected post-frontal subsidence and mostly sunny conditions support a modest upward bias. Market-implied probabilities (32°C at 40%, 33°C at 28.5%) reflect this narrow range of uncertainty across official guidance and numerical weather prediction spreads, with lower odds on 31°C or 34°C+ highlighting limited model divergence as of September 2. Updated runs from regional models and any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,235Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus and clearing weather patterns after early-September rain are positioning 32°C and 33°C as the leading outcomes for Wuhan's September 4 high temperature.** Forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and WeatherBug indicate highs near 31°C under clearing skies and northeast flow following scattered showers on September 2–3. PredictWind and select ensemble runs show slightly warmer potential near 33°C if daytime heating is maximized by reduced cloud cover and light winds. September climatology for Wuhan typically features afternoon maxima around 29–30°C, but the expected post-frontal subsidence and mostly sunny conditions support a modest upward bias. Market-implied probabilities (32°C at 40%, 33°C at 28.5%) reflect this narrow range of uncertainty across official guidance and numerical weather prediction spreads, with lower odds on 31°C or 34°C+ highlighting limited model divergence as of September 2. Updated runs from regional models and any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture will be the key near-term drivers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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