Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a transition to partly cloudy or clearing conditions on August 31 after periods of rain and cloud cover earlier in the week, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 34–36°C as the most probable daily maximum. Subtropical high pressure combined with the Sichuan basin’s topography favors diurnal heating and reduced ventilation, while light northeast winds and moderate humidity levels (around 50–60% daytime) limit evaporative cooling. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local CMA runs shows afternoon peaks near 32–34°C under variable cloud cover, with upside potential if skies clear fully or downside risk from scattered showers; urban heat island effects at the official measurement station add minor upward bias. New 48-hour model updates and any revised CMA guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these narrow spreads.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 31?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 31?
35°C 27%
36°C 26%
34°C 21%
32°C 20%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
10%
34°C
21%
35°C
27%
36°C
26%
37°C
11%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 27%
36°C 26%
34°C 21%
32°C 20%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C
$2 Vol.
10%
34°C
$9 Vol.
21%
35°C
$0 Vol.
27%
36°C
$7 Vol.
26%
37°C
$89 Vol.
11%
38°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a transition to partly cloudy or clearing conditions on August 31 after periods of rain and cloud cover earlier in the week, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 34–36°C as the most probable daily maximum. Subtropical high pressure combined with the Sichuan basin’s topography favors diurnal heating and reduced ventilation, while light northeast winds and moderate humidity levels (around 50–60% daytime) limit evaporative cooling. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local CMA runs shows afternoon peaks near 32–34°C under variable cloud cover, with upside potential if skies clear fully or downside risk from scattered showers; urban heat island effects at the official measurement station add minor upward bias. New 48-hour model updates and any revised CMA guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these narrow spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$107Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a transition to partly cloudy or clearing conditions on August 31 after periods of rain and cloud cover earlier in the week, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 34–36°C as the most probable daily maximum. Subtropical high pressure combined with the Sichuan basin’s topography favors diurnal heating and reduced ventilation, while light northeast winds and moderate humidity levels (around 50–60% daytime) limit evaporative cooling. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local CMA runs shows afternoon peaks near 32–34°C under variable cloud cover, with upside potential if skies clear fully or downside risk from scattered showers; urban heat island effects at the official measurement station add minor upward bias. New 48-hour model updates and any revised CMA guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these narrow spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$107Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a transition to partly cloudy or clearing conditions on August 31 after periods of rain and cloud cover earlier in the week, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 34–36°C as the most probable daily maximum. Subtropical high pressure combined with the Sichuan basin’s topography favors diurnal heating and reduced ventilation, while light northeast winds and moderate humidity levels (around 50–60% daytime) limit evaporative cooling. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local CMA runs shows afternoon peaks near 32–34°C under variable cloud cover, with upside potential if skies clear fully or downside risk from scattered showers; urban heat island effects at the official measurement station add minor upward bias. New 48-hour model updates and any revised CMA guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these narrow spreads.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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