**Official observations confirm a maximum of 65°F at San Francisco International Airport on August 28, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 64-65°F outcome at 98.9% implied probability.** The National Weather Service climatological summary recorded this peak at 2:09 PM PDT under overcast to mostly cloudy skies, with light rain, fog, and haze, well below the 1991-2020 normal high of 74°F. Persistent marine layer influence, strong westerly winds (often 15-22 mph), and high humidity (73-90%) suppressed daytime heating, consistent with typical late-August coastal patterns where the Pacific high and onshore flow limit temperatures. METAR data from KSFO showed hourly readings climbing only to 65°F before cooling, with no model or observational signals of anomalous warming. Historical analogs for the date rarely exceed the low-to-mid 70s without strong offshore flow, and no such shift materialized. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects this verified NWS data rather than forecasts. Resolution would face challenge primarily from station-specific discrepancies (e.g., downtown microclimates measuring differently) or official revisions, though airport observations serve as the standard reference.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 28?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 28?
64-65°F 99.5%
66-67°F <1%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
$40,503 Vol.
$40,503 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 99.5%
66-67°F <1%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
$40,503 Vol.
$40,503 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
57°F or below
$375 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$293 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$667 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$3,555 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$9,688 Vol.
100%
66-67°F
$6,190 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$6,492 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$6,099 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$3,725 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,081 Vol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$1,338 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations confirm a maximum of 65°F at San Francisco International Airport on August 28, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 64-65°F outcome at 98.9% implied probability.** The National Weather Service climatological summary recorded this peak at 2:09 PM PDT under overcast to mostly cloudy skies, with light rain, fog, and haze, well below the 1991-2020 normal high of 74°F. Persistent marine layer influence, strong westerly winds (often 15-22 mph), and high humidity (73-90%) suppressed daytime heating, consistent with typical late-August coastal patterns where the Pacific high and onshore flow limit temperatures.
METAR data from KSFO showed hourly readings climbing only to 65°F before cooling, with no model or observational signals of anomalous warming. Historical analogs for the date rarely exceed the low-to-mid 70s without strong offshore flow, and no such shift materialized.
The overwhelming trader consensus reflects this verified NWS data rather than forecasts. Resolution would face challenge primarily from station-specific discrepancies (e.g., downtown microclimates measuring differently) or official revisions, though airport observations serve as the standard reference.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$40,503Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations confirm a maximum of 65°F at San Francisco International Airport on August 28, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 64-65°F outcome at 98.9% implied probability.** The National Weather Service climatological summary recorded this peak at 2:09 PM PDT under overcast to mostly cloudy skies, with light rain, fog, and haze, well below the 1991-2020 normal high of 74°F. Persistent marine layer influence, strong westerly winds (often 15-22 mph), and high humidity (73-90%) suppressed daytime heating, consistent with typical late-August coastal patterns where the Pacific high and onshore flow limit temperatures.
METAR data from KSFO showed hourly readings climbing only to 65°F before cooling, with no model or observational signals of anomalous warming. Historical analogs for the date rarely exceed the low-to-mid 70s without strong offshore flow, and no such shift materialized.
The overwhelming trader consensus reflects this verified NWS data rather than forecasts. Resolution would face challenge primarily from station-specific discrepancies (e.g., downtown microclimates measuring differently) or official revisions, though airport observations serve as the standard reference.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,503Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official observations confirm a maximum of 65°F at San Francisco International Airport on August 28, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 64-65°F outcome at 98.9% implied probability.** The National Weather Service climatological summary recorded this peak at 2:09 PM PDT under overcast to mostly cloudy skies, with light rain, fog, and haze, well below the 1991-2020 normal high of 74°F. Persistent marine layer influence, strong westerly winds (often 15-22 mph), and high humidity (73-90%) suppressed daytime heating, consistent with typical late-August coastal patterns where the Pacific high and onshore flow limit temperatures. METAR data from KSFO showed hourly readings climbing only to 65°F before cooling, with no model or observational signals of anomalous warming. Historical analogs for the date rarely exceed the low-to-mid 70s without strong offshore flow, and no such shift materialized. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects this verified NWS data rather than forecasts. Resolution would face challenge primarily from station-specific discrepancies (e.g., downtown microclimates measuring differently) or official revisions, though airport observations serve as the standard reference.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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