Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate Mexico City's August 30 high will likely peak near 24–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies and scattered light rain, consistent with the rainy-season pattern that limits solar heating at the city's 2,300 m elevation. Cloud cover and precipitation timing create the narrow spread between these outcomes, as any brief afternoon clearing could add 1 °C while persistent showers would cap readings closer to 23 °C. Historical late-August averages near 23–24 °C provide context, but current moisture and weak winds suppress the urban heat-island effect. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of resolution will clarify whether the daily maximum crosses the key 24/25 °C threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
25°C 43%
24°C 35%
23°C 13%
26°C or higher 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
35%
25°C
43%
26°C or higher
11%
25°C 43%
24°C 35%
23°C 13%
26°C or higher 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
35%
25°C
43%
26°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate Mexico City's August 30 high will likely peak near 24–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies and scattered light rain, consistent with the rainy-season pattern that limits solar heating at the city's 2,300 m elevation. Cloud cover and precipitation timing create the narrow spread between these outcomes, as any brief afternoon clearing could add 1 °C while persistent showers would cap readings closer to 23 °C. Historical late-August averages near 23–24 °C provide context, but current moisture and weak winds suppress the urban heat-island effect. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of resolution will clarify whether the daily maximum crosses the key 24/25 °C threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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