Recent Environment Canada and European model guidance point to a high near 26 °C on August 30 under a mix of sun and increasing cloud cover, with a 30 % chance of showers that could suppress peak readings through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Surface winds shifting southwest at 10–20 km/h and rising humidity further modulate diurnal warming, while model spread on timing of any rain bands creates the observed market dispersion around 23–25 °C. Historical late-August normals near 24 °C provide context, yet the absence of strong high pressure leaves room for either a brief sunny break pushing toward 26 °C or persistent overcast holding values at 23 °C or below. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely tighten these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 30?
24°C 32%
25°C 22%
23°C 22%
22°C 10%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
22%
24°C
32%
25°C
22%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
4%
24°C 32%
25°C 22%
23°C 22%
22°C 10%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
22%
24°C
32%
25°C
22%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Environment Canada and European model guidance point to a high near 26 °C on August 30 under a mix of sun and increasing cloud cover, with a 30 % chance of showers that could suppress peak readings through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Surface winds shifting southwest at 10–20 km/h and rising humidity further modulate diurnal warming, while model spread on timing of any rain bands creates the observed market dispersion around 23–25 °C. Historical late-August normals near 24 °C provide context, yet the absence of strong high pressure leaves room for either a brief sunny break pushing toward 26 °C or persistent overcast holding values at 23 °C or below. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely tighten these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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