Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a minimum temperature for Chicago on August 30 likely in the mid-70s °F, driven by persistent southerly winds advecting warm, humid air, extensive cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, and a slight chance of showers that could further suppress temperature drops. This setup contrasts with climatological averages near 64 °F and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 70–73 °F outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact overnight minimums amid model consensus on minimal cooling potential. Key resolution factors include official Chicago observations at primary stations, with any late-day frontal passage or unexpected clear skies as primary variables that could shift results toward lower bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 27%
66-67°F 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
63°F or below
14%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
5%
82°F or higher
4%
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 27%
66-67°F 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
63°F or below
$0 Vol.
14%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
9%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
26%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
25%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
29%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
35%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
5%
82°F or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a minimum temperature for Chicago on August 30 likely in the mid-70s °F, driven by persistent southerly winds advecting warm, humid air, extensive cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, and a slight chance of showers that could further suppress temperature drops. This setup contrasts with climatological averages near 64 °F and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 70–73 °F outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact overnight minimums amid model consensus on minimal cooling potential. Key resolution factors include official Chicago observations at primary stations, with any late-day frontal passage or unexpected clear skies as primary variables that could shift results toward lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$15Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a minimum temperature for Chicago on August 30 likely in the mid-70s °F, driven by persistent southerly winds advecting warm, humid air, extensive cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, and a slight chance of showers that could further suppress temperature drops. This setup contrasts with climatological averages near 64 °F and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 70–73 °F outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact overnight minimums amid model consensus on minimal cooling potential. Key resolution factors include official Chicago observations at primary stations, with any late-day frontal passage or unexpected clear skies as primary variables that could shift results toward lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a minimum temperature for Chicago on August 30 likely in the mid-70s °F, driven by persistent southerly winds advecting warm, humid air, extensive cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, and a slight chance of showers that could further suppress temperature drops. This setup contrasts with climatological averages near 64 °F and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 70–73 °F outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact overnight minimums amid model consensus on minimal cooling potential. Key resolution factors include official Chicago observations at primary stations, with any late-day frontal passage or unexpected clear skies as primary variables that could shift results toward lower bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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