**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly winds from a stationary front over eastern Japan are keeping Tokyo's overnight temperatures from dropping sharply on August 29, 2026.** Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models point to a minimum in the 21–23 °C range, with current surface observations showing temperatures hovering near 22–23 °C amid high humidity and light-to-moderate winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while moisture and urban heat retention prevent sharper declines below 21 °C. Slight model differences in the timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts overnight create the tight market spread among the 21 °C (39 %), 22 °C (37.5 %), and 23 °C (37 %) outcomes; any later clearing could push the low toward 21 °C, while sustained clouds favor the higher end. Historical late-August minima average near 23 °C, but the current unsettled pattern supports the cooler consensus reflected in trader pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
20°C 10%
19°C or below 3%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
40%
22°C
37%
23°C
38%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
20°C 10%
19°C or below 3%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
$235 Vol.
3%
20°C
$54 Vol.
8%
21°C
$225 Vol.
40%
22°C
$182 Vol.
37%
23°C
$506 Vol.
38%
24°C
$1,003 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$606 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$532 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$212 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly winds from a stationary front over eastern Japan are keeping Tokyo's overnight temperatures from dropping sharply on August 29, 2026.**
Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models point to a minimum in the 21–23 °C range, with current surface observations showing temperatures hovering near 22–23 °C amid high humidity and light-to-moderate winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while moisture and urban heat retention prevent sharper declines below 21 °C. Slight model differences in the timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts overnight create the tight market spread among the 21 °C (39 %), 22 °C (37.5 %), and 23 °C (37 %) outcomes; any later clearing could push the low toward 21 °C, while sustained clouds favor the higher end. Historical late-August minima average near 23 °C, but the current unsettled pattern supports the cooler consensus reflected in trader pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,122Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly winds from a stationary front over eastern Japan are keeping Tokyo's overnight temperatures from dropping sharply on August 29, 2026.**
Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models point to a minimum in the 21–23 °C range, with current surface observations showing temperatures hovering near 22–23 °C amid high humidity and light-to-moderate winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while moisture and urban heat retention prevent sharper declines below 21 °C. Slight model differences in the timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts overnight create the tight market spread among the 21 °C (39 %), 22 °C (37.5 %), and 23 °C (37 %) outcomes; any later clearing could push the low toward 21 °C, while sustained clouds favor the higher end. Historical late-August minima average near 23 °C, but the current unsettled pattern supports the cooler consensus reflected in trader pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,122Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly winds from a stationary front over eastern Japan are keeping Tokyo's overnight temperatures from dropping sharply on August 29, 2026.** Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models point to a minimum in the 21–23 °C range, with current surface observations showing temperatures hovering near 22–23 °C amid high humidity and light-to-moderate winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while moisture and urban heat retention prevent sharper declines below 21 °C. Slight model differences in the timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts overnight create the tight market spread among the 21 °C (39 %), 22 °C (37.5 %), and 23 °C (37 %) outcomes; any later clearing could push the low toward 21 °C, while sustained clouds favor the higher end. Historical late-August minima average near 23 °C, but the current unsettled pattern supports the cooler consensus reflected in trader pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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