Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on August 30 will likely settle near 22°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds following the passage of a frontal system that brought cooler, moister air on August 29. This positioning aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C at 55.5% implied probability, as persistent cloud cover limits radiational cooling while dew points remain elevated around 20–21°C. Recent observations show daytime highs dropping from 32–34°C earlier in the week to the upper 20s, consistent with seasonal norms for late August when minimum temperatures average near 23°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
22°C 56%
23°C 21%
24°C 18%
20°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
16%
21°C
16%
22°C
56%
23°C
21%
24°C
18%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
13%
22°C 56%
23°C 21%
24°C 18%
20°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$0 Vol.
16%
22°C
$89 Vol.
56%
23°C
$104 Vol.
21%
24°C
$5 Vol.
18%
25°C
$5 Vol.
8%
26°C
$5 Vol.
8%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on August 30 will likely settle near 22°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds following the passage of a frontal system that brought cooler, moister air on August 29. This positioning aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C at 55.5% implied probability, as persistent cloud cover limits radiational cooling while dew points remain elevated around 20–21°C. Recent observations show daytime highs dropping from 32–34°C earlier in the week to the upper 20s, consistent with seasonal norms for late August when minimum temperatures average near 23°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$229Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on August 30 will likely settle near 22°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds following the passage of a frontal system that brought cooler, moister air on August 29. This positioning aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C at 55.5% implied probability, as persistent cloud cover limits radiational cooling while dew points remain elevated around 20–21°C. Recent observations show daytime highs dropping from 32–34°C earlier in the week to the upper 20s, consistent with seasonal norms for late August when minimum temperatures average near 23°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$229Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on August 30 will likely settle near 22°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds following the passage of a frontal system that brought cooler, moister air on August 29. This positioning aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C at 55.5% implied probability, as persistent cloud cover limits radiational cooling while dew points remain elevated around 20–21°C. Recent observations show daytime highs dropping from 32–34°C earlier in the week to the upper 20s, consistent with seasonal norms for late August when minimum temperatures average near 23°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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