Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France and global models such as GFS points to a Paris overnight minimum of 16–17 °C on 29 August 2026, driven by mild southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light showers that moderate temperature drops. These conditions keep the low well above the 1991–2020 average of 13.5 °C while aligning with recent daily observations showing mid-teens overnight readings. Model runs show minor spread around the 16 °C threshold, supporting the market’s tight 58.5 % / 42.5 % split between 16 °C and 17 °C as the primary outcomes, with negligible probability assigned to colder or warmer extremes. Official minimum readings from Paris stations will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
16°C 61%
17°C 39%
15°C 6%
18°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
61%
17°C
23%
18°C
9%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
17°C 39%
15°C 6%
18°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
$273 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$477 Vol.
1%
14°C
$341 Vol.
2%
15°C
$280 Vol.
6%
16°C
$1,179 Vol.
61%
17°C
$479 Vol.
23%
18°C
$447 Vol.
9%
19°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France and global models such as GFS points to a Paris overnight minimum of 16–17 °C on 29 August 2026, driven by mild southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light showers that moderate temperature drops. These conditions keep the low well above the 1991–2020 average of 13.5 °C while aligning with recent daily observations showing mid-teens overnight readings. Model runs show minor spread around the 16 °C threshold, supporting the market’s tight 58.5 % / 42.5 % split between 16 °C and 17 °C as the primary outcomes, with negligible probability assigned to colder or warmer extremes. Official minimum readings from Paris stations will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,300Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France and global models such as GFS points to a Paris overnight minimum of 16–17 °C on 29 August 2026, driven by mild southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light showers that moderate temperature drops. These conditions keep the low well above the 1991–2020 average of 13.5 °C while aligning with recent daily observations showing mid-teens overnight readings. Model runs show minor spread around the 16 °C threshold, supporting the market’s tight 58.5 % / 42.5 % split between 16 °C and 17 °C as the primary outcomes, with negligible probability assigned to colder or warmer extremes. Official minimum readings from Paris stations will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,300Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France and global models such as GFS points to a Paris overnight minimum of 16–17 °C on 29 August 2026, driven by mild southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light showers that moderate temperature drops. These conditions keep the low well above the 1991–2020 average of 13.5 °C while aligning with recent daily observations showing mid-teens overnight readings. Model runs show minor spread around the 16 °C threshold, supporting the market’s tight 58.5 % / 42.5 % split between 16 °C and 17 °C as the primary outcomes, with negligible probability assigned to colder or warmer extremes. Official minimum readings from Paris stations will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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