Official forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models show Wellington's overnight low stabilizing near 11°C on August 29 amid mild northwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Late-winter conditions, with daytime maxima around 16°C and dew points near 8–10°C, align closely with historical August minima of 9–12°C, reducing the likelihood of deeper drops. Strong model agreement on clear to partly cloudy skies and consistent airflow supports the market's near-certain 11°C outcome. An unexpected wind shift to colder southerlies or enhanced nocturnal cooling under clearer conditions could push the reading lower, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
11°C 99.5%
10°C 19%
9°C 2%
6°C or below <1%
$2,323 Vol.
$2,323 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
11°C 99.5%
10°C 19%
9°C 2%
6°C or below <1%
$2,323 Vol.
$2,323 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
6°C or below
$321 Vol.
No
7°C
$259 Vol.
No
8°C
$580 Vol.
No
9°C
$220 Vol.
No
10°C
$93 Vol.
No
11°C
$422 Vol.
Yes
12°C
$267 Vol.
No
13°C
$62 Vol.
No
14°C
$30 Vol.
No
15°C
$35 Vol.
No
16°C or higher
$35 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models show Wellington's overnight low stabilizing near 11°C on August 29 amid mild northwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Late-winter conditions, with daytime maxima around 16°C and dew points near 8–10°C, align closely with historical August minima of 9–12°C, reducing the likelihood of deeper drops. Strong model agreement on clear to partly cloudy skies and consistent airflow supports the market's near-certain 11°C outcome. An unexpected wind shift to colder southerlies or enhanced nocturnal cooling under clearer conditions could push the reading lower, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,323Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models show Wellington's overnight low stabilizing near 11°C on August 29 amid mild northwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Late-winter conditions, with daytime maxima around 16°C and dew points near 8–10°C, align closely with historical August minima of 9–12°C, reducing the likelihood of deeper drops. Strong model agreement on clear to partly cloudy skies and consistent airflow supports the market's near-certain 11°C outcome. An unexpected wind shift to colder southerlies or enhanced nocturnal cooling under clearer conditions could push the reading lower, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,323Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models show Wellington's overnight low stabilizing near 11°C on August 29 amid mild northwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Late-winter conditions, with daytime maxima around 16°C and dew points near 8–10°C, align closely with historical August minima of 9–12°C, reducing the likelihood of deeper drops. Strong model agreement on clear to partly cloudy skies and consistent airflow supports the market's near-certain 11°C outcome. An unexpected wind shift to colder southerlies or enhanced nocturnal cooling under clearer conditions could push the reading lower, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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