Latest forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles point to an overnight minimum in Munich on September 3 near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 5–10 km/h, and dew points around 11–13°C that support modest radiative cooling after a daytime high near 23–26°C. These conditions produce tight clustering around the market leaders because clear or broken cloud cover allows efficient longwave heat loss without strong cold advection or precipitation, while light winds limit turbulent mixing that could raise the minimum. Historical September 3 averages near 12°C provide context, yet recent model consensus and absence of frontal systems keep probabilities balanced across 13–15°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on final observational adjustments overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Munich on September 3?
14°C 34%
13°C 32%
11°C or below 30%
15°C 28%
11°C or below
18%
12°C
22%
13°C
32%
14°C
34%
15°C
28%
16°C
9%
17°C
1%
18°C
15%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
6%
14°C 34%
13°C 32%
11°C or below 30%
15°C 28%
11°C or below
18%
12°C
22%
13°C
32%
14°C
34%
15°C
28%
16°C
9%
17°C
1%
18°C
15%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles point to an overnight minimum in Munich on September 3 near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 5–10 km/h, and dew points around 11–13°C that support modest radiative cooling after a daytime high near 23–26°C. These conditions produce tight clustering around the market leaders because clear or broken cloud cover allows efficient longwave heat loss without strong cold advection or precipitation, while light winds limit turbulent mixing that could raise the minimum. Historical September 3 averages near 12°C provide context, yet recent model consensus and absence of frontal systems keep probabilities balanced across 13–15°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on final observational adjustments overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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