Clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds are the main drivers positioning 30–31°C as the leading outcomes for Qingdao’s September 3 high, with market-implied odds at 33% and 43.5% respectively. Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate sunny conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern, limiting cloud cover and allowing typical early-September daytime heating along the coast, while sea breezes cap extreme warmth. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day variability, with highs projected near 29–30°C and no incoming fronts or moisture to alter the trajectory. Traders appear to assign modest upside risk to 31°C given the potential for brief afternoon warming before winds strengthen, while probabilities drop sharply above 32°C due to the absence of amplifying factors like reduced wind or unusual insolation. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will be the next key input.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 3?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 3?
31°C 44%
30°C 32%
29°C 12%
32°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
32%
31°C
44%
32°C
12%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 32%
29°C 12%
32°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$972 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$40 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$116 Vol.
3%
29°C
$413 Vol.
12%
30°C
$381 Vol.
32%
31°C
$824 Vol.
44%
32°C
$266 Vol.
12%
33°C
$173 Vol.
2%
34°C
$272 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds are the main drivers positioning 30–31°C as the leading outcomes for Qingdao’s September 3 high, with market-implied odds at 33% and 43.5% respectively. Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate sunny conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern, limiting cloud cover and allowing typical early-September daytime heating along the coast, while sea breezes cap extreme warmth. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day variability, with highs projected near 29–30°C and no incoming fronts or moisture to alter the trajectory. Traders appear to assign modest upside risk to 31°C given the potential for brief afternoon warming before winds strengthen, while probabilities drop sharply above 32°C due to the absence of amplifying factors like reduced wind or unusual insolation. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will be the next key input.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,715Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds are the main drivers positioning 30–31°C as the leading outcomes for Qingdao’s September 3 high, with market-implied odds at 33% and 43.5% respectively. Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate sunny conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern, limiting cloud cover and allowing typical early-September daytime heating along the coast, while sea breezes cap extreme warmth. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day variability, with highs projected near 29–30°C and no incoming fronts or moisture to alter the trajectory. Traders appear to assign modest upside risk to 31°C given the potential for brief afternoon warming before winds strengthen, while probabilities drop sharply above 32°C due to the absence of amplifying factors like reduced wind or unusual insolation. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will be the next key input.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,715Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds are the main drivers positioning 30–31°C as the leading outcomes for Qingdao’s September 3 high, with market-implied odds at 33% and 43.5% respectively. Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate sunny conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern, limiting cloud cover and allowing typical early-September daytime heating along the coast, while sea breezes cap extreme warmth. Recent model consensus shows little day-to-day variability, with highs projected near 29–30°C and no incoming fronts or moisture to alter the trajectory. Traders appear to assign modest upside risk to 31°C given the potential for brief afternoon warming before winds strengthen, while probabilities drop sharply above 32°C due to the absence of amplifying factors like reduced wind or unusual insolation. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will be the next key input.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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