Recent meteorological forecasts for Qingdao on September 3 indicate minimum temperatures near 19–21°C under clear to mostly sunny skies, northeasterly winds of 3–5 m/s, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%, limiting radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with early September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where stable high pressure and onshore flow typically prevent sharp drops below 18°C. Ensemble models show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact dew point depressions and any late-day wind shifts that could enhance or suppress surface cooling. Market-implied odds favoring 14°C or below at 43.5% reflect trader emphasis on potential model underestimation of nocturnal boundary-layer processes, while probabilities clustered around 15–18°C capture the consensus range from current guidance. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 3?
23°C 49%
21°C 48%
22°C 48%
24°C or higher 47%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
14°C or below
43%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
4%
21°C
48%
22°C
48%
23°C
49%
24°C or higher
47%
23°C 49%
21°C 48%
22°C 48%
24°C or higher 47%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
14°C or below
$5 Vol.
43%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$15 Vol.
4%
21°C
$20 Vol.
48%
22°C
$20 Vol.
48%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Qingdao on September 3 indicate minimum temperatures near 19–21°C under clear to mostly sunny skies, northeasterly winds of 3–5 m/s, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%, limiting radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with early September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where stable high pressure and onshore flow typically prevent sharp drops below 18°C. Ensemble models show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact dew point depressions and any late-day wind shifts that could enhance or suppress surface cooling. Market-implied odds favoring 14°C or below at 43.5% reflect trader emphasis on potential model underestimation of nocturnal boundary-layer processes, while probabilities clustered around 15–18°C capture the consensus range from current guidance. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$70Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Qingdao on September 3 indicate minimum temperatures near 19–21°C under clear to mostly sunny skies, northeasterly winds of 3–5 m/s, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%, limiting radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with early September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where stable high pressure and onshore flow typically prevent sharp drops below 18°C. Ensemble models show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact dew point depressions and any late-day wind shifts that could enhance or suppress surface cooling. Market-implied odds favoring 14°C or below at 43.5% reflect trader emphasis on potential model underestimation of nocturnal boundary-layer processes, while probabilities clustered around 15–18°C capture the consensus range from current guidance. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Qingdao on September 3 indicate minimum temperatures near 19–21°C under clear to mostly sunny skies, northeasterly winds of 3–5 m/s, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%, limiting radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with early September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where stable high pressure and onshore flow typically prevent sharp drops below 18°C. Ensemble models show limited spread, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact dew point depressions and any late-day wind shifts that could enhance or suppress surface cooling. Market-implied odds favoring 14°C or below at 43.5% reflect trader emphasis on potential model underestimation of nocturnal boundary-layer processes, while probabilities clustered around 15–18°C capture the consensus range from current guidance. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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