Enhanced southwest monsoon (habagat) driven by nearby tropical systems like Tropical Depression Pilandok is delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, suppressing peak daytime temperatures. PAGASA guidance and short-range models converge on highs near 28–29 °C (82–84 °F) for September 3, with 80–95 % rain probability and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limiting solar insolation. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño adds longer-term context but exerts limited influence on this 48-hour window. Traders therefore assign higher implied probability to the lower end of the historical early-September range, as the active monsoon pattern favors reduced maxima compared with clearer climatological baselines. Updated PAGASA bulletins and model runs through September 2 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on September 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 3?
30°C 24%
31°C 24%
29°C 16%
32°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
24%
31°C
24%
32°C
16%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 24%
31°C 24%
29°C 16%
32°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$0 Vol.
24%
31°C
$0 Vol.
24%
32°C
$0 Vol.
16%
33°C
$30 Vol.
9%
34°C
$75 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Enhanced southwest monsoon (habagat) driven by nearby tropical systems like Tropical Depression Pilandok is delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, suppressing peak daytime temperatures. PAGASA guidance and short-range models converge on highs near 28–29 °C (82–84 °F) for September 3, with 80–95 % rain probability and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limiting solar insolation. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño adds longer-term context but exerts limited influence on this 48-hour window. Traders therefore assign higher implied probability to the lower end of the historical early-September range, as the active monsoon pattern favors reduced maxima compared with clearer climatological baselines. Updated PAGASA bulletins and model runs through September 2 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$105Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Enhanced southwest monsoon (habagat) driven by nearby tropical systems like Tropical Depression Pilandok is delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, suppressing peak daytime temperatures. PAGASA guidance and short-range models converge on highs near 28–29 °C (82–84 °F) for September 3, with 80–95 % rain probability and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limiting solar insolation. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño adds longer-term context but exerts limited influence on this 48-hour window. Traders therefore assign higher implied probability to the lower end of the historical early-September range, as the active monsoon pattern favors reduced maxima compared with clearer climatological baselines. Updated PAGASA bulletins and model runs through September 2 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$105Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Enhanced southwest monsoon (habagat) driven by nearby tropical systems like Tropical Depression Pilandok is delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila, suppressing peak daytime temperatures. PAGASA guidance and short-range models converge on highs near 28–29 °C (82–84 °F) for September 3, with 80–95 % rain probability and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limiting solar insolation. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño adds longer-term context but exerts limited influence on this 48-hour window. Traders therefore assign higher implied probability to the lower end of the historical early-September range, as the active monsoon pattern favors reduced maxima compared with clearer climatological baselines. Updated PAGASA bulletins and model runs through September 2 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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