**Forecast models from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and European meteorological services, currently indicate a daytime high of 22–24 °C for Warsaw on September 3, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This narrow range aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes (23 °C at 44 %, 24 °C at 26 %, 22 °C at 22.5 %), reflecting trader aggregation of ensemble guidance that shows stable high pressure and modest daytime warming without strong advection of warmer air masses. Historical early-September baselines for Warsaw (typical maxima near 18–21 °C) place the expected values slightly above normal, yet well short of extremes that would shift probabilities toward 25 °C or higher. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next official model runs and observational updates from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management or ECMWF will be the primary catalysts that could tighten or broaden the distribution around the current 22–24 °C cluster.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?
23°C 44%
24°C 26%
22°C 22%
21°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
22%
23°C
44%
24°C
26%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 44%
24°C 26%
22°C 22%
21°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C
$5 Vol.
3%
20°C
$80 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$84 Vol.
22%
23°C
$372 Vol.
44%
24°C
$307 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$225 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and European meteorological services, currently indicate a daytime high of 22–24 °C for Warsaw on September 3, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk.**
This narrow range aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes (23 °C at 44 %, 24 °C at 26 %, 22 °C at 22.5 %), reflecting trader aggregation of ensemble guidance that shows stable high pressure and modest daytime warming without strong advection of warmer air masses. Historical early-September baselines for Warsaw (typical maxima near 18–21 °C) place the expected values slightly above normal, yet well short of extremes that would shift probabilities toward 25 °C or higher.
With resolution only 48 hours away, the next official model runs and observational updates from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management or ECMWF will be the primary catalysts that could tighten or broaden the distribution around the current 22–24 °C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,194Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and European meteorological services, currently indicate a daytime high of 22–24 °C for Warsaw on September 3, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk.**
This narrow range aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes (23 °C at 44 %, 24 °C at 26 %, 22 °C at 22.5 %), reflecting trader aggregation of ensemble guidance that shows stable high pressure and modest daytime warming without strong advection of warmer air masses. Historical early-September baselines for Warsaw (typical maxima near 18–21 °C) place the expected values slightly above normal, yet well short of extremes that would shift probabilities toward 25 °C or higher.
With resolution only 48 hours away, the next official model runs and observational updates from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management or ECMWF will be the primary catalysts that could tighten or broaden the distribution around the current 22–24 °C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,194Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and European meteorological services, currently indicate a daytime high of 22–24 °C for Warsaw on September 3, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This narrow range aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes (23 °C at 44 %, 24 °C at 26 %, 22 °C at 22.5 %), reflecting trader aggregation of ensemble guidance that shows stable high pressure and modest daytime warming without strong advection of warmer air masses. Historical early-September baselines for Warsaw (typical maxima near 18–21 °C) place the expected values slightly above normal, yet well short of extremes that would shift probabilities toward 25 °C or higher. With resolution only 48 hours away, the next official model runs and observational updates from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management or ECMWF will be the primary catalysts that could tighten or broaden the distribution around the current 22–24 °C cluster.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan