**Forecast consensus for Miami on September 5 centers on afternoon thunderstorm activity and typical early-September subtropical conditions, keeping the daily high most likely in the upper 80s to low 90s.** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple models project a mostly sunny morning with highs near 88–90°F before scattered to likely showers and thunderstorms develop after noon, driven by high humidity, light southeast flow, and diurnal heating. These convective patterns often cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which explains why the market-implied odds cluster tightly on 88–91°F ranges while assigning lower probability to 92°F+ outcomes. Historical climatology for early September shows average highs around 89°F, providing a baseline that traders appear to weigh against short-term model spread on storm timing and intensity. Updated forecast discussions and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture levels over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could nudge the realized maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on September 5?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 5?
86-87°F 30%
88-89°F 26%
90-91°F 24%
92-93°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
6%
98°F or higher
5%
86-87°F 30%
88-89°F 26%
90-91°F 24%
92-93°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
79°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
30%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
26%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
24%
92-93°F
$11 Vol.
10%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
6%
98°F or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Miami on September 5 centers on afternoon thunderstorm activity and typical early-September subtropical conditions, keeping the daily high most likely in the upper 80s to low 90s.** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple models project a mostly sunny morning with highs near 88–90°F before scattered to likely showers and thunderstorms develop after noon, driven by high humidity, light southeast flow, and diurnal heating. These convective patterns often cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which explains why the market-implied odds cluster tightly on 88–91°F ranges while assigning lower probability to 92°F+ outcomes. Historical climatology for early September shows average highs around 89°F, providing a baseline that traders appear to weigh against short-term model spread on storm timing and intensity. Updated forecast discussions and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture levels over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could nudge the realized maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$11Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Miami on September 5 centers on afternoon thunderstorm activity and typical early-September subtropical conditions, keeping the daily high most likely in the upper 80s to low 90s.** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple models project a mostly sunny morning with highs near 88–90°F before scattered to likely showers and thunderstorms develop after noon, driven by high humidity, light southeast flow, and diurnal heating. These convective patterns often cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which explains why the market-implied odds cluster tightly on 88–91°F ranges while assigning lower probability to 92°F+ outcomes. Historical climatology for early September shows average highs around 89°F, providing a baseline that traders appear to weigh against short-term model spread on storm timing and intensity. Updated forecast discussions and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture levels over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could nudge the realized maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Miami on September 5 centers on afternoon thunderstorm activity and typical early-September subtropical conditions, keeping the daily high most likely in the upper 80s to low 90s.** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple models project a mostly sunny morning with highs near 88–90°F before scattered to likely showers and thunderstorms develop after noon, driven by high humidity, light southeast flow, and diurnal heating. These convective patterns often cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which explains why the market-implied odds cluster tightly on 88–91°F ranges while assigning lower probability to 92°F+ outcomes. Historical climatology for early September shows average highs around 89°F, providing a baseline that traders appear to weigh against short-term model spread on storm timing and intensity. Updated forecast discussions and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture levels over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could nudge the realized maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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