Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a high-pressure system dominating central Europe, delivering mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover over Munich on September 6. This setup favors daytime maxima near the climatological average of 21°C but trending 2–3°C warmer, with consensus highs clustered at 23–24°C and low precipitation risk. Recent model runs show little spread, though minor revisions could occur with the next European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts update. These stable atmospheric conditions underpin trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 24°C and 23°C outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on September 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 6?
24°C 50%
23°C 24%
25°C 15%
22°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
50%
25°C
15%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 50%
23°C 24%
25°C 15%
22°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
$50 Vol.
2%
19°C
$5,014 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
9%
22°C
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C
$0 Vol.
24%
24°C
$318 Vol.
50%
25°C
$31 Vol.
15%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a high-pressure system dominating central Europe, delivering mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover over Munich on September 6. This setup favors daytime maxima near the climatological average of 21°C but trending 2–3°C warmer, with consensus highs clustered at 23–24°C and low precipitation risk. Recent model runs show little spread, though minor revisions could occur with the next European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts update. These stable atmospheric conditions underpin trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 24°C and 23°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,414Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a high-pressure system dominating central Europe, delivering mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover over Munich on September 6. This setup favors daytime maxima near the climatological average of 21°C but trending 2–3°C warmer, with consensus highs clustered at 23–24°C and low precipitation risk. Recent model runs show little spread, though minor revisions could occur with the next European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts update. These stable atmospheric conditions underpin trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 24°C and 23°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,414Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a high-pressure system dominating central Europe, delivering mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover over Munich on September 6. This setup favors daytime maxima near the climatological average of 21°C but trending 2–3°C warmer, with consensus highs clustered at 23–24°C and low precipitation risk. Recent model runs show little spread, though minor revisions could occur with the next European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts update. These stable atmospheric conditions underpin trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 24°C and 23°C outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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