**Forecast consensus for Ankara on September 10 centers on a high of 30–31°C under clear skies and light westerly winds, producing the tight 45.5% / 42.5% split between those two outcomes.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as YR and regional models show afternoon peaks reaching 29–30°C at most stations, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing of peak insolation, minor wind shifts, and boundary-layer mixing. A recent warming trend—daily highs rising from ~24°C on September 8 to 26–28°C on the 9th—reflects strengthening high pressure and reduced northeasterly flow, allowing greater daytime heating. Low humidity (15–30%) and negligible cloud cover further support efficient solar warming, yet small model spreads in maximum temperature keep both 30°C and 31°C viable within typical observational uncertainty. Historical climatology places the September 10 mean near 26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that traders are pricing with narrow margins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
30°C 45%
31°C 42%
29°C 13%
32°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
45%
31°C
42%
32°C
8%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 45%
31°C 42%
29°C 13%
32°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
$50 Vol.
4%
25°C
$51 Vol.
4%
26°C
$51 Vol.
4%
27°C
$21 Vol.
4%
28°C
$124 Vol.
4%
29°C
$670 Vol.
13%
30°C
$526 Vol.
45%
31°C
$967 Vol.
42%
32°C
$350 Vol.
8%
33°C
$25 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$100 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Ankara on September 10 centers on a high of 30–31°C under clear skies and light westerly winds, producing the tight 45.5% / 42.5% split between those two outcomes.**
Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as YR and regional models show afternoon peaks reaching 29–30°C at most stations, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing of peak insolation, minor wind shifts, and boundary-layer mixing. A recent warming trend—daily highs rising from ~24°C on September 8 to 26–28°C on the 9th—reflects strengthening high pressure and reduced northeasterly flow, allowing greater daytime heating. Low humidity (15–30%) and negligible cloud cover further support efficient solar warming, yet small model spreads in maximum temperature keep both 30°C and 31°C viable within typical observational uncertainty. Historical climatology places the September 10 mean near 26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that traders are pricing with narrow margins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,934Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Ankara on September 10 centers on a high of 30–31°C under clear skies and light westerly winds, producing the tight 45.5% / 42.5% split between those two outcomes.**
Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as YR and regional models show afternoon peaks reaching 29–30°C at most stations, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing of peak insolation, minor wind shifts, and boundary-layer mixing. A recent warming trend—daily highs rising from ~24°C on September 8 to 26–28°C on the 9th—reflects strengthening high pressure and reduced northeasterly flow, allowing greater daytime heating. Low humidity (15–30%) and negligible cloud cover further support efficient solar warming, yet small model spreads in maximum temperature keep both 30°C and 31°C viable within typical observational uncertainty. Historical climatology places the September 10 mean near 26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that traders are pricing with narrow margins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,934Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Ankara on September 10 centers on a high of 30–31°C under clear skies and light westerly winds, producing the tight 45.5% / 42.5% split between those two outcomes.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as YR and regional models show afternoon peaks reaching 29–30°C at most stations, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing of peak insolation, minor wind shifts, and boundary-layer mixing. A recent warming trend—daily highs rising from ~24°C on September 8 to 26–28°C on the 9th—reflects strengthening high pressure and reduced northeasterly flow, allowing greater daytime heating. Low humidity (15–30%) and negligible cloud cover further support efficient solar warming, yet small model spreads in maximum temperature keep both 30°C and 31°C viable within typical observational uncertainty. Historical climatology places the September 10 mean near 26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that traders are pricing with narrow margins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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