Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models converge on a high near 99°F for Austin on September 10 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and continued hot, humid conditions typical of late summer in central Texas. This aligns with recent observations, including a 100°F reading the prior day and seasonal averages around 92°F, while heat indices may reach 105°F. Low precipitation chances and stable steering patterns limit variability, reinforcing trader consensus around the 98-99°F bin at 73.5% implied probability. Minor model spreads or afternoon convection could nudge outcomes slightly higher or lower, but current data releases keep the upper-90s range dominant ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on September 10?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 10?
98-99°F 74%
100-101°F 11%
96-97°F 8%
102-103°F 6%
BARU
$14,120 Vol.
BARU
$14,120 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
74%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 74%
100-101°F 11%
96-97°F 8%
102-103°F 6%
BARU
$14,120 Vol.
BARU
$14,120 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
89°F or below
$479 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$402 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$122 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$335 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$5,278 Vol.
8%
98-99°F
$4,253 Vol.
74%
100-101°F
$1,844 Vol.
11%
102-103°F
$744 Vol.
6%
104-105°F
$267 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$427 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models converge on a high near 99°F for Austin on September 10 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and continued hot, humid conditions typical of late summer in central Texas. This aligns with recent observations, including a 100°F reading the prior day and seasonal averages around 92°F, while heat indices may reach 105°F. Low precipitation chances and stable steering patterns limit variability, reinforcing trader consensus around the 98-99°F bin at 73.5% implied probability. Minor model spreads or afternoon convection could nudge outcomes slightly higher or lower, but current data releases keep the upper-90s range dominant ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,120Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models converge on a high near 99°F for Austin on September 10 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and continued hot, humid conditions typical of late summer in central Texas. This aligns with recent observations, including a 100°F reading the prior day and seasonal averages around 92°F, while heat indices may reach 105°F. Low precipitation chances and stable steering patterns limit variability, reinforcing trader consensus around the 98-99°F bin at 73.5% implied probability. Minor model spreads or afternoon convection could nudge outcomes slightly higher or lower, but current data releases keep the upper-90s range dominant ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,120Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models converge on a high near 99°F for Austin on September 10 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and continued hot, humid conditions typical of late summer in central Texas. This aligns with recent observations, including a 100°F reading the prior day and seasonal averages around 92°F, while heat indices may reach 105°F. Low precipitation chances and stable steering patterns limit variability, reinforcing trader consensus around the 98-99°F bin at 73.5% implied probability. Minor model spreads or afternoon convection could nudge outcomes slightly higher or lower, but current data releases keep the upper-90s range dominant ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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