The closely matched trader probabilities for a 24–26°C high in Toronto on September 9 reflect lingering uncertainty in numerical weather models regarding peak boundary-layer temperatures amid variable cloud cover and lake-breeze influences from Lake Ontario. Environment Canada guidance and ensemble forecasts show modest spread in daytime maximums driven by differences in predicted mixing depth and shortwave radiation under a weak high-pressure ridge, with historical September climatology placing typical highs near 22°C but recent warm advection supporting the elevated range. Real-time surface observations and updated model runs will narrow the outcome as the day progresses, with traders weighting the consensus near the 25°C threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on September 9?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 9?
26°C 35%
25°C 22%
24°C 17%
27°C 12%
BARU
$28,689 Vol.
BARU
$28,689 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
17%
25°C
22%
26°C
35%
27°C
12%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 35%
25°C 22%
24°C 17%
27°C 12%
BARU
$28,689 Vol.
BARU
$28,689 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
$1,559 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,950 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,649 Vol.
3%
22°C
$2,774 Vol.
3%
23°C
$4,347 Vol.
5%
24°C
$4,284 Vol.
17%
25°C
$4,816 Vol.
22%
26°C
$3,608 Vol.
35%
27°C
$2,154 Vol.
12%
28°C
$749 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$799 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched trader probabilities for a 24–26°C high in Toronto on September 9 reflect lingering uncertainty in numerical weather models regarding peak boundary-layer temperatures amid variable cloud cover and lake-breeze influences from Lake Ontario. Environment Canada guidance and ensemble forecasts show modest spread in daytime maximums driven by differences in predicted mixing depth and shortwave radiation under a weak high-pressure ridge, with historical September climatology placing typical highs near 22°C but recent warm advection supporting the elevated range. Real-time surface observations and updated model runs will narrow the outcome as the day progresses, with traders weighting the consensus near the 25°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$28,689Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched trader probabilities for a 24–26°C high in Toronto on September 9 reflect lingering uncertainty in numerical weather models regarding peak boundary-layer temperatures amid variable cloud cover and lake-breeze influences from Lake Ontario. Environment Canada guidance and ensemble forecasts show modest spread in daytime maximums driven by differences in predicted mixing depth and shortwave radiation under a weak high-pressure ridge, with historical September climatology placing typical highs near 22°C but recent warm advection supporting the elevated range. Real-time surface observations and updated model runs will narrow the outcome as the day progresses, with traders weighting the consensus near the 25°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,689Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader probabilities for a 24–26°C high in Toronto on September 9 reflect lingering uncertainty in numerical weather models regarding peak boundary-layer temperatures amid variable cloud cover and lake-breeze influences from Lake Ontario. Environment Canada guidance and ensemble forecasts show modest spread in daytime maximums driven by differences in predicted mixing depth and shortwave radiation under a weak high-pressure ridge, with historical September climatology placing typical highs near 22°C but recent warm advection supporting the elevated range. Real-time surface observations and updated model runs will narrow the outcome as the day progresses, with traders weighting the consensus near the 25°C threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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