**Observational data from Shenzhen meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of 31.7–32°C on September 9, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and low precipitation, aligning with the market's near-certain 32°C outcome.** Subtropical early-September climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 31–33°C and minimal model spread in short-range guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. The consensus reflects verified station measurements rather than forecasts, with traders assigning negligible probability to deviations given the completed observation window. A realistic challenge would require an official revision from the primary reporting station due to quality control, sensor calibration, or definition of "highest temperature" across multiple sites, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary data stabilize.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$46,886 Vol.
$46,886 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$46,886 Vol.
$46,886 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Observational data from Shenzhen meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of 31.7–32°C on September 9, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and low precipitation, aligning with the market's near-certain 32°C outcome.** Subtropical early-September climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 31–33°C and minimal model spread in short-range guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. The consensus reflects verified station measurements rather than forecasts, with traders assigning negligible probability to deviations given the completed observation window. A realistic challenge would require an official revision from the primary reporting station due to quality control, sensor calibration, or definition of "highest temperature" across multiple sites, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary data stabilize.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
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