Current forecast models from multiple sources project a daily maximum near 32°C in Beijing on September 11 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This positioning reflects real-time observational data and numerical weather prediction consensus showing temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 18–19°C to afternoon peaks consistent with historical September extremes, where the all-time high reached 32.6°C. Trader consensus treats the outcome as effectively settled absent major forecast revisions. Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover, localized precipitation, or shifts in steering patterns that could cap the high below the threshold, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$87,439 Vol.
$87,439 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$87,439 Vol.
$87,439 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
$394 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,052 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,976 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,719 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,302 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,288 Vol.
No
31°C
$24,223 Vol.
No
32°C
$14,681 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$11,564 Vol.
No
34°C
$10,467 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$4,771 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple sources project a daily maximum near 32°C in Beijing on September 11 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This positioning reflects real-time observational data and numerical weather prediction consensus showing temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 18–19°C to afternoon peaks consistent with historical September extremes, where the all-time high reached 32.6°C. Trader consensus treats the outcome as effectively settled absent major forecast revisions. Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover, localized precipitation, or shifts in steering patterns that could cap the high below the threshold, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$87,439Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple sources project a daily maximum near 32°C in Beijing on September 11 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This positioning reflects real-time observational data and numerical weather prediction consensus showing temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 18–19°C to afternoon peaks consistent with historical September extremes, where the all-time high reached 32.6°C. Trader consensus treats the outcome as effectively settled absent major forecast revisions. Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover, localized precipitation, or shifts in steering patterns that could cap the high below the threshold, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87,439Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Current forecast models from multiple sources project a daily maximum near 32°C in Beijing on September 11 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This positioning reflects real-time observational data and numerical weather prediction consensus showing temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 18–19°C to afternoon peaks consistent with historical September extremes, where the all-time high reached 32.6°C. Trader consensus treats the outcome as effectively settled absent major forecast revisions. Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover, localized precipitation, or shifts in steering patterns that could cap the high below the threshold, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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