**Official Met Office forecasts for September 12, 2026, project a maximum daytime temperature of 23°C in London under sunny intervals with light southwesterly winds, aligning closely with multiple numerical weather models and surface observations.** This positions the 23°C outcome at a 99.5% market-implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure influences and minimal deviation from the seasonal average high of around 20.5°C. Recent model runs show consistent afternoon peaks near this threshold without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings higher. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing solar heating or a late shift in steering winds introducing cooler maritime air, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on September 12?
Highest temperature in London on September 12?
23°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
$77,431 Vol.
$77,431 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
$77,431 Vol.
$77,431 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
17°C or below
$360 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,171 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,641 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,835 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$8,639 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$10,590 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$15,334 Vol.
100%
24°C
$13,673 Vol.
1%
25°C
$12,324 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,413 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official Met Office forecasts for September 12, 2026, project a maximum daytime temperature of 23°C in London under sunny intervals with light southwesterly winds, aligning closely with multiple numerical weather models and surface observations.** This positions the 23°C outcome at a 99.5% market-implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure influences and minimal deviation from the seasonal average high of around 20.5°C. Recent model runs show consistent afternoon peaks near this threshold without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings higher. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing solar heating or a late shift in steering winds introducing cooler maritime air, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$77,431Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official Met Office forecasts for September 12, 2026, project a maximum daytime temperature of 23°C in London under sunny intervals with light southwesterly winds, aligning closely with multiple numerical weather models and surface observations.** This positions the 23°C outcome at a 99.5% market-implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure influences and minimal deviation from the seasonal average high of around 20.5°C. Recent model runs show consistent afternoon peaks near this threshold without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings higher. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing solar heating or a late shift in steering winds introducing cooler maritime air, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77,431Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Met Office forecasts for September 12, 2026, project a maximum daytime temperature of 23°C in London under sunny intervals with light southwesterly winds, aligning closely with multiple numerical weather models and surface observations.** This positions the 23°C outcome at a 99.5% market-implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure influences and minimal deviation from the seasonal average high of around 20.5°C. Recent model runs show consistent afternoon peaks near this threshold without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings higher. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing solar heating or a late shift in steering winds introducing cooler maritime air, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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