Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models indicate a maximum of 24–25°C in London on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes. Mild conditions stem from limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and the absence of strong warm-air advection, keeping values close to seasonal norms adjusted for early autumn. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on peak timing and exact cloud breaks, with 24°C edging ahead on current runs while 25°C remains viable if skies clear more than expected. Historical September highs average near 20°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly, but forecast revisions ahead of the date could still shift probabilities as new observational data arrives.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on September 14?
Highest temperature in London on September 14?
24°C 37%
25°C 29%
23°C 17%
26°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
17%
24°C
37%
25°C
29%
26°C
14%
27°C or higher
4%
24°C 37%
25°C 29%
23°C 17%
26°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
17°C or below
$19 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$19 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$89 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$40 Vol.
4%
23°C
$21 Vol.
17%
24°C
$348 Vol.
37%
25°C
$411 Vol.
29%
26°C
$557 Vol.
14%
27°C or higher
$4 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models indicate a maximum of 24–25°C in London on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes. Mild conditions stem from limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and the absence of strong warm-air advection, keeping values close to seasonal norms adjusted for early autumn. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on peak timing and exact cloud breaks, with 24°C edging ahead on current runs while 25°C remains viable if skies clear more than expected. Historical September highs average near 20°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly, but forecast revisions ahead of the date could still shift probabilities as new observational data arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,510Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models indicate a maximum of 24–25°C in London on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes. Mild conditions stem from limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and the absence of strong warm-air advection, keeping values close to seasonal norms adjusted for early autumn. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on peak timing and exact cloud breaks, with 24°C edging ahead on current runs while 25°C remains viable if skies clear more than expected. Historical September highs average near 20°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly, but forecast revisions ahead of the date could still shift probabilities as new observational data arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,510Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models indicate a maximum of 24–25°C in London on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes. Mild conditions stem from limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and the absence of strong warm-air advection, keeping values close to seasonal norms adjusted for early autumn. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on peak timing and exact cloud breaks, with 24°C edging ahead on current runs while 25°C remains viable if skies clear more than expected. Historical September highs average near 20°C, so this represents a modest positive anomaly, but forecast revisions ahead of the date could still shift probabilities as new observational data arrives.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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