Recent forecast model runs for Buenos Aires on September 14 indicate a mild spring day with daytime highs likely reaching 14–16°C under mostly sunny conditions and light northerly winds, consistent with current high-pressure patterns and seasonal norms for early spring in the region. This consensus from sources including global models underpins trader focus on mid-teens outcomes while the 49.5% implied probability on 20°C or higher reflects uncertainty in rapid warming potential or model spread ahead of final updates. Low probabilities on single-digit readings align with the absence of cold-air advection in latest guidance. Key resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations, with fresh model runs and observational data expected to refine these market-implied odds before the date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 14?
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
15°C 25%
18°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
8%
14°C
11%
15°C
25%
16°C
29%
17°C
40%
18°C
15%
19°C
9%
20°C or higher
4%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
15°C 25%
18°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$0 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
8%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$3 Vol.
29%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Buenos Aires on September 14 indicate a mild spring day with daytime highs likely reaching 14–16°C under mostly sunny conditions and light northerly winds, consistent with current high-pressure patterns and seasonal norms for early spring in the region. This consensus from sources including global models underpins trader focus on mid-teens outcomes while the 49.5% implied probability on 20°C or higher reflects uncertainty in rapid warming potential or model spread ahead of final updates. Low probabilities on single-digit readings align with the absence of cold-air advection in latest guidance. Key resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations, with fresh model runs and observational data expected to refine these market-implied odds before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$3Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Buenos Aires on September 14 indicate a mild spring day with daytime highs likely reaching 14–16°C under mostly sunny conditions and light northerly winds, consistent with current high-pressure patterns and seasonal norms for early spring in the region. This consensus from sources including global models underpins trader focus on mid-teens outcomes while the 49.5% implied probability on 20°C or higher reflects uncertainty in rapid warming potential or model spread ahead of final updates. Low probabilities on single-digit readings align with the absence of cold-air advection in latest guidance. Key resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations, with fresh model runs and observational data expected to refine these market-implied odds before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Buenos Aires on September 14 indicate a mild spring day with daytime highs likely reaching 14–16°C under mostly sunny conditions and light northerly winds, consistent with current high-pressure patterns and seasonal norms for early spring in the region. This consensus from sources including global models underpins trader focus on mid-teens outcomes while the 49.5% implied probability on 20°C or higher reflects uncertainty in rapid warming potential or model spread ahead of final updates. Low probabilities on single-digit readings align with the absence of cold-air advection in latest guidance. Key resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at local stations, with fresh model runs and observational data expected to refine these market-implied odds before the date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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