Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and regional guidance, indicate a daytime high near 21–22 °C in Amsterdam on September 12 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow. This places the most likely maximum in the narrow range that accounts for nearly 90 % of current market-implied probability. The pattern reflects typical early-September climatology slightly tempered by recent cooler-than-average conditions across the Netherlands, with no strong warm-air advection or clear-sky heating expected to push readings to 23 °C or above. Low model spread and stable steering flow support the tight clustering around 21–22 °C, though fresh ECMWF and KNMI updates over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 12?
22°C 55%
21°C 35%
20°C 8%
23°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
8%
21°C
35%
22°C
55%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 55%
21°C 35%
20°C 8%
23°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
5%
20°C
$29 Vol.
8%
21°C
$113 Vol.
35%
22°C
$199 Vol.
55%
23°C
$39 Vol.
8%
24°C
$24 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and regional guidance, indicate a daytime high near 21–22 °C in Amsterdam on September 12 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow. This places the most likely maximum in the narrow range that accounts for nearly 90 % of current market-implied probability. The pattern reflects typical early-September climatology slightly tempered by recent cooler-than-average conditions across the Netherlands, with no strong warm-air advection or clear-sky heating expected to push readings to 23 °C or above. Low model spread and stable steering flow support the tight clustering around 21–22 °C, though fresh ECMWF and KNMI updates over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$429Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and regional guidance, indicate a daytime high near 21–22 °C in Amsterdam on September 12 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow. This places the most likely maximum in the narrow range that accounts for nearly 90 % of current market-implied probability. The pattern reflects typical early-September climatology slightly tempered by recent cooler-than-average conditions across the Netherlands, with no strong warm-air advection or clear-sky heating expected to push readings to 23 °C or above. Low model spread and stable steering flow support the tight clustering around 21–22 °C, though fresh ECMWF and KNMI updates over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$429Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from GFS and regional guidance, indicate a daytime high near 21–22 °C in Amsterdam on September 12 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwesterly flow. This places the most likely maximum in the narrow range that accounts for nearly 90 % of current market-implied probability. The pattern reflects typical early-September climatology slightly tempered by recent cooler-than-average conditions across the Netherlands, with no strong warm-air advection or clear-sky heating expected to push readings to 23 °C or above. Low model spread and stable steering flow support the tight clustering around 21–22 °C, though fresh ECMWF and KNMI updates over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan