Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak around 32°C for Guangzhou on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, yet trader consensus centers on 33–34°C due to typical afternoon heating in the city's subtropical monsoon climate and urban heat island effects that can elevate observed maxima above grid-point predictions. Historical September 12 averages near 32.3°C with records up to 35.8°C underscore how modest shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or sea-breeze timing could push the daily high one degree higher. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and real-time station data in the coming hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the market's favored outcomes or settle nearer 32°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12?
33°C 52%
34°C 40%
35°C 5%
32°C 4%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
52%
34°C
40%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 52%
34°C 40%
35°C 5%
32°C 4%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
52%
34°C
40%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak around 32°C for Guangzhou on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, yet trader consensus centers on 33–34°C due to typical afternoon heating in the city's subtropical monsoon climate and urban heat island effects that can elevate observed maxima above grid-point predictions. Historical September 12 averages near 32.3°C with records up to 35.8°C underscore how modest shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or sea-breeze timing could push the daily high one degree higher. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and real-time station data in the coming hours will clarify whether conditions trend toward the market's favored outcomes or settle nearer 32°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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