Forecasts from National Weather Service and private models converge on a high near 100°F for Austin on September 13, driven by persistent southerly flow, abundant moisture, and mostly sunny skies that support strong daytime heating above the 91.6°F climatological average. This consensus underpins the market's heaviest weighting on the 100-101°F bin, with the 98-99°F range reflecting residual uncertainty from possible morning cloud cover or slight model cooling. Heat indices near 109°F highlight humidity's role in surface energy balance without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Historical precedent shows temperatures in this range occur several times per decade in mid-September, while the low probability assigned to 102°F+ aligns with the absence of stronger high-pressure ridging or downslope winds that produced the 102°F record in 2011. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on September 13?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 13?
100-101°F 52%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 16%
96-97°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
52%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
3%
108°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 52%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 16%
96-97°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
89°F or below
$50 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$86 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$35 Vol.
6%
98-99°F
$3 Vol.
29%
100-101°F
$225 Vol.
52%
102-103°F
$44 Vol.
16%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
5%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
3%
108°F or higher
$16 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from National Weather Service and private models converge on a high near 100°F for Austin on September 13, driven by persistent southerly flow, abundant moisture, and mostly sunny skies that support strong daytime heating above the 91.6°F climatological average. This consensus underpins the market's heaviest weighting on the 100-101°F bin, with the 98-99°F range reflecting residual uncertainty from possible morning cloud cover or slight model cooling. Heat indices near 109°F highlight humidity's role in surface energy balance without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Historical precedent shows temperatures in this range occur several times per decade in mid-September, while the low probability assigned to 102°F+ aligns with the absence of stronger high-pressure ridging or downslope winds that produced the 102°F record in 2011. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$459Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from National Weather Service and private models converge on a high near 100°F for Austin on September 13, driven by persistent southerly flow, abundant moisture, and mostly sunny skies that support strong daytime heating above the 91.6°F climatological average. This consensus underpins the market's heaviest weighting on the 100-101°F bin, with the 98-99°F range reflecting residual uncertainty from possible morning cloud cover or slight model cooling. Heat indices near 109°F highlight humidity's role in surface energy balance without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Historical precedent shows temperatures in this range occur several times per decade in mid-September, while the low probability assigned to 102°F+ aligns with the absence of stronger high-pressure ridging or downslope winds that produced the 102°F record in 2011. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$459Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from National Weather Service and private models converge on a high near 100°F for Austin on September 13, driven by persistent southerly flow, abundant moisture, and mostly sunny skies that support strong daytime heating above the 91.6°F climatological average. This consensus underpins the market's heaviest weighting on the 100-101°F bin, with the 98-99°F range reflecting residual uncertainty from possible morning cloud cover or slight model cooling. Heat indices near 109°F highlight humidity's role in surface energy balance without altering the dry-bulb maximum. Historical precedent shows temperatures in this range occur several times per decade in mid-September, while the low probability assigned to 102°F+ aligns with the absence of stronger high-pressure ridging or downslope winds that produced the 102°F record in 2011. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan