Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies across southern Ontario are positioning Toronto's September 11 high near the 23°C historical average, driving the 57% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and multiple models project a daytime peak of 21–24°C under sunny conditions with light northwest winds shifting southerly, limiting mixing and keeping temperatures moderate. This aligns with the 28% odds on 24°C and 14% on 22°C, as slight variations in afternoon insolation or wind could shift the maximum within this narrow band. No significant weather systems or temperature anomalies have emerged in recent model runs, reinforcing trader consensus around climatological norms rather than extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on September 11?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 11?
23°C 72%
24°C 16%
22°C 13%
25°C 3%
BARU
$25,693 Vol.
BARU
$25,693 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
72%
24°C
16%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 72%
24°C 16%
22°C 13%
25°C 3%
BARU
$25,693 Vol.
BARU
$25,693 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
18°C or below
$316 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$779 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,534 Vol.
1%
22°C
$4,081 Vol.
13%
23°C
$7,250 Vol.
72%
24°C
$4,846 Vol.
16%
25°C
$2,780 Vol.
3%
26°C
$1,275 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,084 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies across southern Ontario are positioning Toronto's September 11 high near the 23°C historical average, driving the 57% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and multiple models project a daytime peak of 21–24°C under sunny conditions with light northwest winds shifting southerly, limiting mixing and keeping temperatures moderate. This aligns with the 28% odds on 24°C and 14% on 22°C, as slight variations in afternoon insolation or wind could shift the maximum within this narrow band. No significant weather systems or temperature anomalies have emerged in recent model runs, reinforcing trader consensus around climatological norms rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$25,693Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies across southern Ontario are positioning Toronto's September 11 high near the 23°C historical average, driving the 57% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and multiple models project a daytime peak of 21–24°C under sunny conditions with light northwest winds shifting southerly, limiting mixing and keeping temperatures moderate. This aligns with the 28% odds on 24°C and 14% on 22°C, as slight variations in afternoon insolation or wind could shift the maximum within this narrow band. No significant weather systems or temperature anomalies have emerged in recent model runs, reinforcing trader consensus around climatological norms rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,693Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies across southern Ontario are positioning Toronto's September 11 high near the 23°C historical average, driving the 57% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada and multiple models project a daytime peak of 21–24°C under sunny conditions with light northwest winds shifting southerly, limiting mixing and keeping temperatures moderate. This aligns with the 28% odds on 24°C and 14% on 22°C, as slight variations in afternoon insolation or wind could shift the maximum within this narrow band. No significant weather systems or temperature anomalies have emerged in recent model runs, reinforcing trader consensus around climatological norms rather than extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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