Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeast winds and a modest chance of showers. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer recent days, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C (45.5%) and 29°C (33.5%). Mid-September climatology for the region supports highs in this narrow band absent strong synoptic forcing, while model consensus on cloud cover and moisture reduces the likelihood of outliers above 30°C or below 27°C. Updated runs ahead of the 24-hour verification window will determine the final recorded peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 11?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 11?
28°C 46%
29°C 35%
27°C 12%
30°C 6%
BARU
$21,006 Vol.
BARU
$21,006 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
46%
29°C
35%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 35%
27°C 12%
30°C 6%
BARU
$21,006 Vol.
BARU
$21,006 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
$1,304 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,899 Vol.
2%
27°C
$3,540 Vol.
12%
28°C
$4,871 Vol.
46%
29°C
$3,783 Vol.
35%
30°C
$3,226 Vol.
6%
31°C
$1,109 Vol.
2%
32°C
$424 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeast winds and a modest chance of showers. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer recent days, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C (45.5%) and 29°C (33.5%). Mid-September climatology for the region supports highs in this narrow band absent strong synoptic forcing, while model consensus on cloud cover and moisture reduces the likelihood of outliers above 30°C or below 27°C. Updated runs ahead of the 24-hour verification window will determine the final recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$21,006Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeast winds and a modest chance of showers. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer recent days, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C (45.5%) and 29°C (33.5%). Mid-September climatology for the region supports highs in this narrow band absent strong synoptic forcing, while model consensus on cloud cover and moisture reduces the likelihood of outliers above 30°C or below 27°C. Updated runs ahead of the 24-hour verification window will determine the final recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,006Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeast winds and a modest chance of showers. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer recent days, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C (45.5%) and 29°C (33.5%). Mid-September climatology for the region supports highs in this narrow band absent strong synoptic forcing, while model consensus on cloud cover and moisture reduces the likelihood of outliers above 30°C or below 27°C. Updated runs ahead of the 24-hour verification window will determine the final recorded peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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