**Trader consensus at 100% for a 70-71°F high on September 12, 2026, reflects official station observations confirming that range as the daily maximum.** San Francisco’s September climatology features an average high near 70.7°F, with marine-layer moderation and onshore westerly flow typically capping peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s absent strong offshore warming. Recent model guidance and surface analyses aligned closely with this outcome, showing no anomalous heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings into the mid-70s or higher. The 0.1% odds on all other bins indicate traders view the recorded value as definitive once quality-controlled data from primary NOAA or NWS stations are released. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential station-specific microclimate differences, late revisions to preliminary observations, or resolution criteria tied to a precise reporting location rather than the city-wide high.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 12?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 12?
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$30,583 Vol.
$30,583 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$30,583 Vol.
$30,583 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
59°F or below
$353 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$227 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,173 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$3,635 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,746 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$4,612 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$4,267 Vol.
100%
72-73°F
$2,670 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,059 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,575 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$3,267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 70-71°F high on September 12, 2026, reflects official station observations confirming that range as the daily maximum.** San Francisco’s September climatology features an average high near 70.7°F, with marine-layer moderation and onshore westerly flow typically capping peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s absent strong offshore warming. Recent model guidance and surface analyses aligned closely with this outcome, showing no anomalous heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings into the mid-70s or higher. The 0.1% odds on all other bins indicate traders view the recorded value as definitive once quality-controlled data from primary NOAA or NWS stations are released.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential station-specific microclimate differences, late revisions to preliminary observations, or resolution criteria tied to a precise reporting location rather than the city-wide high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$30,583Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 70-71°F high on September 12, 2026, reflects official station observations confirming that range as the daily maximum.** San Francisco’s September climatology features an average high near 70.7°F, with marine-layer moderation and onshore westerly flow typically capping peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s absent strong offshore warming. Recent model guidance and surface analyses aligned closely with this outcome, showing no anomalous heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings into the mid-70s or higher. The 0.1% odds on all other bins indicate traders view the recorded value as definitive once quality-controlled data from primary NOAA or NWS stations are released.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential station-specific microclimate differences, late revisions to preliminary observations, or resolution criteria tied to a precise reporting location rather than the city-wide high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,583Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% for a 70-71°F high on September 12, 2026, reflects official station observations confirming that range as the daily maximum.** San Francisco’s September climatology features an average high near 70.7°F, with marine-layer moderation and onshore westerly flow typically capping peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s absent strong offshore warming. Recent model guidance and surface analyses aligned closely with this outcome, showing no anomalous heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings into the mid-70s or higher. The 0.1% odds on all other bins indicate traders view the recorded value as definitive once quality-controlled data from primary NOAA or NWS stations are released. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential station-specific microclimate differences, late revisions to preliminary observations, or resolution criteria tied to a precise reporting location rather than the city-wide high.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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