Recent weather model consensus points to a daily maximum in Chengdu of 24–26°C on September 13, with scattered light rain and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Multiple forecasts, including those from European and global ensembles, highlight weak southerly flow and moisture associated with lingering seasonal systems, which suppress peak temperatures below the climatological September average of roughly 28°C. This narrow range of expected values explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations, where even modest shifts in timing of cloud breaks or rainfall could alter the recorded high by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 13?
25°C 29%
24°C 27%
26°C 24%
23°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
24%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 29%
24°C 27%
26°C 24%
23°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
20°C or below
$570 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$136 Vol.
2%
22°C
$186 Vol.
3%
23°C
$1,141 Vol.
9%
24°C
$2,120 Vol.
27%
25°C
$1,290 Vol.
29%
26°C
$589 Vol.
24%
27°C
$732 Vol.
6%
28°C
$298 Vol.
2%
29°C
$232 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$213 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus points to a daily maximum in Chengdu of 24–26°C on September 13, with scattered light rain and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Multiple forecasts, including those from European and global ensembles, highlight weak southerly flow and moisture associated with lingering seasonal systems, which suppress peak temperatures below the climatological September average of roughly 28°C. This narrow range of expected values explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations, where even modest shifts in timing of cloud breaks or rainfall could alter the recorded high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,508Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus points to a daily maximum in Chengdu of 24–26°C on September 13, with scattered light rain and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Multiple forecasts, including those from European and global ensembles, highlight weak southerly flow and moisture associated with lingering seasonal systems, which suppress peak temperatures below the climatological September average of roughly 28°C. This narrow range of expected values explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations, where even modest shifts in timing of cloud breaks or rainfall could alter the recorded high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,508Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus points to a daily maximum in Chengdu of 24–26°C on September 13, with scattered light rain and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Multiple forecasts, including those from European and global ensembles, highlight weak southerly flow and moisture associated with lingering seasonal systems, which suppress peak temperatures below the climatological September average of roughly 28°C. This narrow range of expected values explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations, where even modest shifts in timing of cloud breaks or rainfall could alter the recorded high by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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