Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 28–30°C for Busan on September 14 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal rain chances, consistent with stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region. Model consensus clusters near 29°C, though slight variations in afternoon sea-breeze strength or cloud cover could push readings toward 30–31°C, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (30.5% for 31°C, 26% for 30°C) to those outcomes. With probabilities closely bunched, differentiation hinges on precise timing of peak heating and local measurement protocols at official stations, where even small shifts in solar insolation or urban heat retention matter. Updated model runs and Korean Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on September 14?
Highest temperature in Busan on September 14?
31°C 38%
30°C 28%
32°C 13%
29°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
11%
30°C
28%
31°C
38%
32°C
13%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
31°C 38%
30°C 28%
32°C 13%
29°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$13 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
28%
31°C
$5 Vol.
38%
32°C
$0 Vol.
13%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C
$33 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 28–30°C for Busan on September 14 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal rain chances, consistent with stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region. Model consensus clusters near 29°C, though slight variations in afternoon sea-breeze strength or cloud cover could push readings toward 30–31°C, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (30.5% for 31°C, 26% for 30°C) to those outcomes. With probabilities closely bunched, differentiation hinges on precise timing of peak heating and local measurement protocols at official stations, where even small shifts in solar insolation or urban heat retention matter. Updated model runs and Korean Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$51Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 28–30°C for Busan on September 14 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal rain chances, consistent with stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region. Model consensus clusters near 29°C, though slight variations in afternoon sea-breeze strength or cloud cover could push readings toward 30–31°C, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (30.5% for 31°C, 26% for 30°C) to those outcomes. With probabilities closely bunched, differentiation hinges on precise timing of peak heating and local measurement protocols at official stations, where even small shifts in solar insolation or urban heat retention matter. Updated model runs and Korean Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 28–30°C for Busan on September 14 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal rain chances, consistent with stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region. Model consensus clusters near 29°C, though slight variations in afternoon sea-breeze strength or cloud cover could push readings toward 30–31°C, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (30.5% for 31°C, 26% for 30°C) to those outcomes. With probabilities closely bunched, differentiation hinges on precise timing of peak heating and local measurement protocols at official stations, where even small shifts in solar insolation or urban heat retention matter. Updated model runs and Korean Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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