Latest numerical weather prediction models, including global and regional runs, converge on a Tokyo high near 24°C for September 12 under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. Overcast skies and scattered drizzle reduce solar insolation while advecting cooler maritime air, keeping afternoon maxima clustered between 23–25°C with low model spread. This scientific consensus underpins the tightly bunched market-implied odds, where 24°C leads at 35.5% followed closely by 23°C and 25°C. Traders will monitor the final Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and any last-minute model updates through the evening for shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture that could nudge the peak by 1°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
24°C 38%
23°C 25%
25°C 22%
22°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
25%
24°C
38%
25°C
22%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 38%
23°C 25%
25°C 22%
22°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
$1,108 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$926 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,146 Vol.
2%
22°C
$534 Vol.
9%
23°C
$878 Vol.
25%
24°C
$768 Vol.
38%
25°C
$703 Vol.
22%
26°C
$941 Vol.
8%
27°C
$580 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$380 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including global and regional runs, converge on a Tokyo high near 24°C for September 12 under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. Overcast skies and scattered drizzle reduce solar insolation while advecting cooler maritime air, keeping afternoon maxima clustered between 23–25°C with low model spread. This scientific consensus underpins the tightly bunched market-implied odds, where 24°C leads at 35.5% followed closely by 23°C and 25°C. Traders will monitor the final Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and any last-minute model updates through the evening for shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture that could nudge the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,969Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including global and regional runs, converge on a Tokyo high near 24°C for September 12 under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. Overcast skies and scattered drizzle reduce solar insolation while advecting cooler maritime air, keeping afternoon maxima clustered between 23–25°C with low model spread. This scientific consensus underpins the tightly bunched market-implied odds, where 24°C leads at 35.5% followed closely by 23°C and 25°C. Traders will monitor the final Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and any last-minute model updates through the evening for shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture that could nudge the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,969Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including global and regional runs, converge on a Tokyo high near 24°C for September 12 under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. Overcast skies and scattered drizzle reduce solar insolation while advecting cooler maritime air, keeping afternoon maxima clustered between 23–25°C with low model spread. This scientific consensus underpins the tightly bunched market-implied odds, where 24°C leads at 35.5% followed closely by 23°C and 25°C. Traders will monitor the final Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and any last-minute model updates through the evening for shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture that could nudge the peak by 1°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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