Traders have converged on 21°C as the near-certain outcome for London's highest temperature on September 11, 2026, reflecting real-time Met Office observations and forecast models showing a daytime maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6°C for the date at London Heathrow, with current conditions featuring stable high pressure, minimal cloud cover during peak heating hours, and no significant frontal systems to alter the thermal profile. Official hourly data indicate temperatures climbing through the late morning and afternoon before moderating, consistent with the market-implied consensus. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected model revisions, such as prolonged clear skies boosting insolation or a shift in wind direction that reduces mixing and allows localized warming above 22°C at the resolution station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on September 11?
Highest temperature in London on September 11?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$81,042 Vol.
$81,042 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$81,042 Vol.
$81,042 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
$110 Vol.
No
17°C
$197 Vol.
No
18°C
$218 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,057 Vol.
No
20°C
$16,638 Vol.
No
21°C
$20,697 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$15,755 Vol.
No
23°C
$15,578 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,119 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,067 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$1,606 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 21°C as the near-certain outcome for London's highest temperature on September 11, 2026, reflecting real-time Met Office observations and forecast models showing a daytime maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6°C for the date at London Heathrow, with current conditions featuring stable high pressure, minimal cloud cover during peak heating hours, and no significant frontal systems to alter the thermal profile. Official hourly data indicate temperatures climbing through the late morning and afternoon before moderating, consistent with the market-implied consensus. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected model revisions, such as prolonged clear skies boosting insolation or a shift in wind direction that reduces mixing and allows localized warming above 22°C at the resolution station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$81,042Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 21°C as the near-certain outcome for London's highest temperature on September 11, 2026, reflecting real-time Met Office observations and forecast models showing a daytime maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6°C for the date at London Heathrow, with current conditions featuring stable high pressure, minimal cloud cover during peak heating hours, and no significant frontal systems to alter the thermal profile. Official hourly data indicate temperatures climbing through the late morning and afternoon before moderating, consistent with the market-implied consensus. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected model revisions, such as prolonged clear skies boosting insolation or a shift in wind direction that reduces mixing and allows localized warming above 22°C at the resolution station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81,042Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Traders have converged on 21°C as the near-certain outcome for London's highest temperature on September 11, 2026, reflecting real-time Met Office observations and forecast models showing a daytime maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6°C for the date at London Heathrow, with current conditions featuring stable high pressure, minimal cloud cover during peak heating hours, and no significant frontal systems to alter the thermal profile. Official hourly data indicate temperatures climbing through the late morning and afternoon before moderating, consistent with the market-implied consensus. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected model revisions, such as prolonged clear skies boosting insolation or a shift in wind direction that reduces mixing and allows localized warming above 22°C at the resolution station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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