Recent weather model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and regional forecasts indicates a high of 28–29°C in Beijing on September 12 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s leading 29°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of stable high-pressure conditions and modest warming above the 27.1°C climatological average. Lower odds on 28°C and 30°C capture typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C from numerical models. Clear conditions overnight on September 11 further support surface heating without significant cloud cover or frontal systems to alter the trajectory before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on September 12?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 12?
29°C 54%
28°C 21%
30°C 19%
27°C 4%
BARU
$15,277 Vol.
BARU
$15,277 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
21%
29°C
54%
30°C
19%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 54%
28°C 21%
30°C 19%
27°C 4%
BARU
$15,277 Vol.
BARU
$15,277 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
24°C or below
$115 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$269 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$741 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,135 Vol.
4%
28°C
$2,601 Vol.
21%
29°C
$5,000 Vol.
54%
30°C
$1,988 Vol.
19%
31°C
$1,160 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,083 Vol.
2%
33°C
$739 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$447 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and regional forecasts indicates a high of 28–29°C in Beijing on September 12 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s leading 29°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of stable high-pressure conditions and modest warming above the 27.1°C climatological average. Lower odds on 28°C and 30°C capture typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C from numerical models. Clear conditions overnight on September 11 further support surface heating without significant cloud cover or frontal systems to alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$15,277Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and regional forecasts indicates a high of 28–29°C in Beijing on September 12 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s leading 29°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of stable high-pressure conditions and modest warming above the 27.1°C climatological average. Lower odds on 28°C and 30°C capture typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C from numerical models. Clear conditions overnight on September 11 further support surface heating without significant cloud cover or frontal systems to alter the trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,277Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and regional forecasts indicates a high of 28–29°C in Beijing on September 12 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s leading 29°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of stable high-pressure conditions and modest warming above the 27.1°C climatological average. Lower odds on 28°C and 30°C capture typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C from numerical models. Clear conditions overnight on September 11 further support surface heating without significant cloud cover or frontal systems to alter the trajectory before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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