Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a moderating airmass over the Northeast, with ensemble forecasts clustering around a daily high of 76-77°F in New York City for September 14, supporting the market's strongest implied probability. A northwesterly flow behind a weak cold front is limiting southerly moisture and heat advection, while clear skies and moderate mixing depths favor efficient daytime warming without excessive buildup. Historical September climatology for the region centers near 75°F, providing a baseline that reinforces current consensus amid typical late-summer variability. Minor uncertainties remain in boundary-layer details and any residual frontal effects, with fresh model updates from the Global Forecast System expected within the next 24 hours likely to refine resolution criteria.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on September 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 14?
76-77°F 54%
78-79°F 23%
74-75°F 15%
80-81°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
54%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 54%
78-79°F 23%
74-75°F 15%
80-81°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
65°F or below
$234 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$216 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$96 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$86 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$295 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$882 Vol.
54%
78-79°F
$1,047 Vol.
23%
80-81°F
$89 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$73 Vol.
2%
84°F or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a moderating airmass over the Northeast, with ensemble forecasts clustering around a daily high of 76-77°F in New York City for September 14, supporting the market's strongest implied probability. A northwesterly flow behind a weak cold front is limiting southerly moisture and heat advection, while clear skies and moderate mixing depths favor efficient daytime warming without excessive buildup. Historical September climatology for the region centers near 75°F, providing a baseline that reinforces current consensus amid typical late-summer variability. Minor uncertainties remain in boundary-layer details and any residual frontal effects, with fresh model updates from the Global Forecast System expected within the next 24 hours likely to refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,019Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a moderating airmass over the Northeast, with ensemble forecasts clustering around a daily high of 76-77°F in New York City for September 14, supporting the market's strongest implied probability. A northwesterly flow behind a weak cold front is limiting southerly moisture and heat advection, while clear skies and moderate mixing depths favor efficient daytime warming without excessive buildup. Historical September climatology for the region centers near 75°F, providing a baseline that reinforces current consensus amid typical late-summer variability. Minor uncertainties remain in boundary-layer details and any residual frontal effects, with fresh model updates from the Global Forecast System expected within the next 24 hours likely to refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,019Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a moderating airmass over the Northeast, with ensemble forecasts clustering around a daily high of 76-77°F in New York City for September 14, supporting the market's strongest implied probability. A northwesterly flow behind a weak cold front is limiting southerly moisture and heat advection, while clear skies and moderate mixing depths favor efficient daytime warming without excessive buildup. Historical September climatology for the region centers near 75°F, providing a baseline that reinforces current consensus amid typical late-summer variability. Minor uncertainties remain in boundary-layer details and any residual frontal effects, with fresh model updates from the Global Forecast System expected within the next 24 hours likely to refine resolution criteria.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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