Recent European forecast models, including ECMWF and national meteorological services, project a peak temperature of 18–20°C in Warsaw on September 12 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover. These outputs align closely with climatological norms for mid-September and show strong consensus across runs, with minimal spread in afternoon maxima near 19°C. Trader positioning, led by the 19°C outcome at 49% implied probability, reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty band typical for short-range temperature forecasts 24 hours ahead. Official station readings from Warsaw Chopin Airport will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts potentially adjusting odds before market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 12?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 12?
19°C 51%
20°C 30%
18°C 17%
17°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
17%
19°C
51%
20°C
30%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 51%
20°C 30%
18°C 17%
17°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
$159 Vol.
1%
16°C
$31 Vol.
2%
17°C
$122 Vol.
3%
18°C
$1,041 Vol.
17%
19°C
$372 Vol.
51%
20°C
$1,668 Vol.
30%
21°C
$300 Vol.
3%
22°C
$48 Vol.
2%
23°C
$145 Vol.
1%
24°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$437 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models, including ECMWF and national meteorological services, project a peak temperature of 18–20°C in Warsaw on September 12 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover. These outputs align closely with climatological norms for mid-September and show strong consensus across runs, with minimal spread in afternoon maxima near 19°C. Trader positioning, led by the 19°C outcome at 49% implied probability, reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty band typical for short-range temperature forecasts 24 hours ahead. Official station readings from Warsaw Chopin Airport will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts potentially adjusting odds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,428Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models, including ECMWF and national meteorological services, project a peak temperature of 18–20°C in Warsaw on September 12 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover. These outputs align closely with climatological norms for mid-September and show strong consensus across runs, with minimal spread in afternoon maxima near 19°C. Trader positioning, led by the 19°C outcome at 49% implied probability, reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty band typical for short-range temperature forecasts 24 hours ahead. Official station readings from Warsaw Chopin Airport will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts potentially adjusting odds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,428Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European forecast models, including ECMWF and national meteorological services, project a peak temperature of 18–20°C in Warsaw on September 12 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover. These outputs align closely with climatological norms for mid-September and show strong consensus across runs, with minimal spread in afternoon maxima near 19°C. Trader positioning, led by the 19°C outcome at 49% implied probability, reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty band typical for short-range temperature forecasts 24 hours ahead. Official station readings from Warsaw Chopin Airport will determine resolution, with any last-minute model shifts potentially adjusting odds before market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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