Recent model consensus points to post-frontal stabilization after rain and cooling on September 10, with high pressure building and light southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating in Warsaw. This setup favors a maximum near 18–19 °C on the 11th, as afternoon cloud cover and modest advection keep temperatures from rising further while preventing sharp overnight drops. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ICON runs reflect minor uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical September averages near 19 °C provide context, but the current pattern aligns with the market’s tight clustering on 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes. Updated midday model runs and any late adjustments to cloud forecasts remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?
18°C 38%
19°C 37%
17°C 24%
16°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
9%
17°C
24%
18°C
38%
19°C
37%
20°C
7%
21°C
9%
22°C
6%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
4%
18°C 38%
19°C 37%
17°C 24%
16°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
9%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$35 Vol.
38%
19°C
$63 Vol.
37%
20°C
$28 Vol.
7%
21°C
$11 Vol.
9%
22°C
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to post-frontal stabilization after rain and cooling on September 10, with high pressure building and light southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating in Warsaw. This setup favors a maximum near 18–19 °C on the 11th, as afternoon cloud cover and modest advection keep temperatures from rising further while preventing sharp overnight drops. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ICON runs reflect minor uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical September averages near 19 °C provide context, but the current pattern aligns with the market’s tight clustering on 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes. Updated midday model runs and any late adjustments to cloud forecasts remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$137Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to post-frontal stabilization after rain and cooling on September 10, with high pressure building and light southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating in Warsaw. This setup favors a maximum near 18–19 °C on the 11th, as afternoon cloud cover and modest advection keep temperatures from rising further while preventing sharp overnight drops. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ICON runs reflect minor uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical September averages near 19 °C provide context, but the current pattern aligns with the market’s tight clustering on 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes. Updated midday model runs and any late adjustments to cloud forecasts remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$137Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to post-frontal stabilization after rain and cooling on September 10, with high pressure building and light southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating in Warsaw. This setup favors a maximum near 18–19 °C on the 11th, as afternoon cloud cover and modest advection keep temperatures from rising further while preventing sharp overnight drops. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ICON runs reflect minor uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical September averages near 19 °C provide context, but the current pattern aligns with the market’s tight clustering on 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes. Updated midday model runs and any late adjustments to cloud forecasts remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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