**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 26°C as the highest temperature in Busan on September 9, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and GFS model runs showing afternoon highs near 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly winds of 15–22 mph.** These conditions promote mixing and limit daytime warming, aligning with typical early-September climatology for the region where seasonal highs average around 26°C. Recent observations confirm mild temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s with no heat-advisory signals or anomalous ridging. The near-certainty in market-implied odds stems from stable model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a same-day resolution. Only a substantial forecast revision—such as unexpected clearing skies boosting insolation or a steering-pattern shift—could realistically push the maximum above 27°C or below 25°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on September 9?
26°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
27°C <1%
$30,113 Vol.
$30,113 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
27°C <1%
$30,113 Vol.
$30,113 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 26°C as the highest temperature in Busan on September 9, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and GFS model runs showing afternoon highs near 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly winds of 15–22 mph.** These conditions promote mixing and limit daytime warming, aligning with typical early-September climatology for the region where seasonal highs average around 26°C. Recent observations confirm mild temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s with no heat-advisory signals or anomalous ridging. The near-certainty in market-implied odds stems from stable model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a same-day resolution. Only a substantial forecast revision—such as unexpected clearing skies boosting insolation or a steering-pattern shift—could realistically push the maximum above 27°C or below 25°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan