Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 72–73°F for Seattle on September 8 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 72.4°F, with traders assigning roughly equal implied probabilities to the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins. Key variables include the timing and extent of daytime clearing, which controls solar insolation and surface heating, alongside wind speed that influences boundary-layer mixing and evaporative cooling. Minor model differences in these factors or localized urban heat effects could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°F, sustaining the narrow market spread ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on September 8?
74-75°F 44%
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 9%
76-77°F 5%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
44%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 44%
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 9%
76-77°F 5%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
44%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 6, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 72–73°F for Seattle on September 8 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 72.4°F, with traders assigning roughly equal implied probabilities to the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins. Key variables include the timing and extent of daytime clearing, which controls solar insolation and surface heating, alongside wind speed that influences boundary-layer mixing and evaporative cooling. Minor model differences in these factors or localized urban heat effects could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°F, sustaining the narrow market spread ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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