Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31–33°C for Panama City’s daily maximum on September 9 because these values align with the city’s September climatology of roughly 31–32.9 °C under prevailing trade-wind and ITCZ conditions. Persistent high humidity near 80 % and strong afternoon convection, with 70–99 % storm chances today, tend to cap extreme heating while still allowing peaks in the low 30s before widespread cloud cover and rain develop. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviation from seasonal norms, with steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures supporting typical land–sea breeze modulation rather than anomalous warmth or suppression. Upcoming afternoon observations from local stations will resolve the market as convective timing determines whether the peak reaches 32 °C or remains nearer 31 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 9?
32°C 44%
31°C 26%
33°C 21%
30°C 8%
$10,447 Vol.
$10,447 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31°C
26%
32°C
44%
33°C
21%
34°C or higher
3%
32°C 44%
31°C 26%
33°C 21%
30°C 8%
$10,447 Vol.
$10,447 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
$1,351 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$831 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$248 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$297 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$225 Vol.
1%
30°C
$615 Vol.
8%
31°C
$1,751 Vol.
26%
32°C
$801 Vol.
44%
33°C
$3,349 Vol.
21%
34°C or higher
$738 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31–33°C for Panama City’s daily maximum on September 9 because these values align with the city’s September climatology of roughly 31–32.9 °C under prevailing trade-wind and ITCZ conditions. Persistent high humidity near 80 % and strong afternoon convection, with 70–99 % storm chances today, tend to cap extreme heating while still allowing peaks in the low 30s before widespread cloud cover and rain develop. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviation from seasonal norms, with steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures supporting typical land–sea breeze modulation rather than anomalous warmth or suppression. Upcoming afternoon observations from local stations will resolve the market as convective timing determines whether the peak reaches 32 °C or remains nearer 31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,447Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31–33°C for Panama City’s daily maximum on September 9 because these values align with the city’s September climatology of roughly 31–32.9 °C under prevailing trade-wind and ITCZ conditions. Persistent high humidity near 80 % and strong afternoon convection, with 70–99 % storm chances today, tend to cap extreme heating while still allowing peaks in the low 30s before widespread cloud cover and rain develop. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviation from seasonal norms, with steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures supporting typical land–sea breeze modulation rather than anomalous warmth or suppression. Upcoming afternoon observations from local stations will resolve the market as convective timing determines whether the peak reaches 32 °C or remains nearer 31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,447Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31–33°C for Panama City’s daily maximum on September 9 because these values align with the city’s September climatology of roughly 31–32.9 °C under prevailing trade-wind and ITCZ conditions. Persistent high humidity near 80 % and strong afternoon convection, with 70–99 % storm chances today, tend to cap extreme heating while still allowing peaks in the low 30s before widespread cloud cover and rain develop. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviation from seasonal norms, with steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures supporting typical land–sea breeze modulation rather than anomalous warmth or suppression. Upcoming afternoon observations from local stations will resolve the market as convective timing determines whether the peak reaches 32 °C or remains nearer 31 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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