Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional guidance point to a mild spring day in Cape Town with moderate southerly winds, limited cloud cover, and peak heating near 21–23°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those outcomes at combined implied odds above 69%. September climatology shows average daily highs around 18–20°C, but a warmer spell earlier in the month has elevated baseline expectations. Key variables differentiating the narrow 21–24°C band include exact timing of maximum insolation, minor variations in boundary-layer mixing from Atlantic sea breezes, and any late-day cloud development that could suppress the peak by 1–2°C. No precipitation is expected, and official monitoring will resolve the market on observed maximum temperature.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 9?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 9?
22°C 26%
23°C 24%
21°C 19%
24°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
19%
22°C
26%
23°C
24%
24°C
14%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 26%
23°C 24%
21°C 19%
24°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
17°C or below
$286 Vol.
1%
18°C
$292 Vol.
1%
19°C
$203 Vol.
4%
20°C
$549 Vol.
9%
21°C
$389 Vol.
19%
22°C
$244 Vol.
26%
23°C
$272 Vol.
24%
24°C
$1,138 Vol.
14%
25°C
$66 Vol.
4%
26°C
$53 Vol.
3%
27°C or higher
$333 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional guidance point to a mild spring day in Cape Town with moderate southerly winds, limited cloud cover, and peak heating near 21–23°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those outcomes at combined implied odds above 69%. September climatology shows average daily highs around 18–20°C, but a warmer spell earlier in the month has elevated baseline expectations. Key variables differentiating the narrow 21–24°C band include exact timing of maximum insolation, minor variations in boundary-layer mixing from Atlantic sea breezes, and any late-day cloud development that could suppress the peak by 1–2°C. No precipitation is expected, and official monitoring will resolve the market on observed maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,825Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional guidance point to a mild spring day in Cape Town with moderate southerly winds, limited cloud cover, and peak heating near 21–23°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those outcomes at combined implied odds above 69%. September climatology shows average daily highs around 18–20°C, but a warmer spell earlier in the month has elevated baseline expectations. Key variables differentiating the narrow 21–24°C band include exact timing of maximum insolation, minor variations in boundary-layer mixing from Atlantic sea breezes, and any late-day cloud development that could suppress the peak by 1–2°C. No precipitation is expected, and official monitoring will resolve the market on observed maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,825Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional guidance point to a mild spring day in Cape Town with moderate southerly winds, limited cloud cover, and peak heating near 21–23°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those outcomes at combined implied odds above 69%. September climatology shows average daily highs around 18–20°C, but a warmer spell earlier in the month has elevated baseline expectations. Key variables differentiating the narrow 21–24°C band include exact timing of maximum insolation, minor variations in boundary-layer mixing from Atlantic sea breezes, and any late-day cloud development that could suppress the peak by 1–2°C. No precipitation is expected, and official monitoring will resolve the market on observed maximum temperature.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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