Incoming frontal systems and associated cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are expected to moderate daytime heating in Milan on September 9, following clear, hot conditions near 33°C on September 8. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles points to highs clustering near 23–27°C, with model spread driven by the precise timing of rain onset, which reduces solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors market-implied probabilities centered on 24–25°C, as stronger insolation under partial clearing could push toward the upper end while persistent overcast or heavier precipitation would cap readings closer to 23°C. Historical September averages near 22–25°C provide context, and updated high-resolution model runs or morning observations will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on September 9?
24°C 30%
25°C 24%
23°C 13%
26°C 12%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
13%
24°C
30%
25°C
24%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
9%
24°C 30%
25°C 24%
23°C 13%
26°C 12%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
13%
24°C
30%
25°C
24%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incoming frontal systems and associated cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are expected to moderate daytime heating in Milan on September 9, following clear, hot conditions near 33°C on September 8. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles points to highs clustering near 23–27°C, with model spread driven by the precise timing of rain onset, which reduces solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup favors market-implied probabilities centered on 24–25°C, as stronger insolation under partial clearing could push toward the upper end while persistent overcast or heavier precipitation would cap readings closer to 23°C. Historical September averages near 22–25°C provide context, and updated high-resolution model runs or morning observations will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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