Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and converging numerical weather models establish a daytime high range of 24–26°C for Moscow on September 10 under light southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and stable pressure near 745–746 hPa with no precipitation. This narrow ensemble spread around the seasonal baseline, reinforced by real-time observations showing afternoon readings near 24°C at representative stations, underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 25°C. The Vnukovo resolution station's boundary-layer conditions align closely with these guidance products. A realistic challenge would require stronger warm advection or unexpected clearing that pushes the official peak to 26°C or above, though current model consensus and limited forecast spread make such an outcome improbable before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
25°C 97%
26°C 4%
27°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$29,412 Vol.
$29,412 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
97%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 97%
26°C 4%
27°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$29,412 Vol.
$29,412 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
$603 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$607 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$324 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$554 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$702 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,988 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,528 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,905 Vol.
97%
26°C
$5,930 Vol.
4%
27°C
$3,380 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$892 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and converging numerical weather models establish a daytime high range of 24–26°C for Moscow on September 10 under light southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and stable pressure near 745–746 hPa with no precipitation. This narrow ensemble spread around the seasonal baseline, reinforced by real-time observations showing afternoon readings near 24°C at representative stations, underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 25°C. The Vnukovo resolution station's boundary-layer conditions align closely with these guidance products. A realistic challenge would require stronger warm advection or unexpected clearing that pushes the official peak to 26°C or above, though current model consensus and limited forecast spread make such an outcome improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$29,412Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and converging numerical weather models establish a daytime high range of 24–26°C for Moscow on September 10 under light southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and stable pressure near 745–746 hPa with no precipitation. This narrow ensemble spread around the seasonal baseline, reinforced by real-time observations showing afternoon readings near 24°C at representative stations, underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 25°C. The Vnukovo resolution station's boundary-layer conditions align closely with these guidance products. A realistic challenge would require stronger warm advection or unexpected clearing that pushes the official peak to 26°C or above, though current model consensus and limited forecast spread make such an outcome improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,412Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and converging numerical weather models establish a daytime high range of 24–26°C for Moscow on September 10 under light southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and stable pressure near 745–746 hPa with no precipitation. This narrow ensemble spread around the seasonal baseline, reinforced by real-time observations showing afternoon readings near 24°C at representative stations, underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 25°C. The Vnukovo resolution station's boundary-layer conditions align closely with these guidance products. A realistic challenge would require stronger warm advection or unexpected clearing that pushes the official peak to 26°C or above, though current model consensus and limited forecast spread make such an outcome improbable before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan