**Trader consensus on a 26°C-or-higher maximum for Mexico City on September 12, 2026, rests on the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast issued that morning, which projected a daytime high of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms.** This range aligned with typical late-summer conditions at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where afternoon solar heating often produces peaks in the mid-20s before convective activity and rain-cooled air intervene. Multiple private weather models and historical station data from Benito Juárez International Airport reinforced expectations that the official maximum would reach or exceed 26°C. Realistic challenges to this outcome would include heavier-than-forecast afternoon rainfall or persistent low cloud cover suppressing temperatures below the lower end of the SMN range, though such deviations appear limited given the market’s near-certain pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 12?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$17,870 Vol.
$17,870 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$17,870 Vol.
$17,870 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
16°C or below
$127 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$329 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,474 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,894 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,777 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,413 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$6,154 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 26°C-or-higher maximum for Mexico City on September 12, 2026, rests on the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast issued that morning, which projected a daytime high of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms.**
This range aligned with typical late-summer conditions at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where afternoon solar heating often produces peaks in the mid-20s before convective activity and rain-cooled air intervene. Multiple private weather models and historical station data from Benito Juárez International Airport reinforced expectations that the official maximum would reach or exceed 26°C.
Realistic challenges to this outcome would include heavier-than-forecast afternoon rainfall or persistent low cloud cover suppressing temperatures below the lower end of the SMN range, though such deviations appear limited given the market’s near-certain pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,870Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 26°C-or-higher maximum for Mexico City on September 12, 2026, rests on the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast issued that morning, which projected a daytime high of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms.**
This range aligned with typical late-summer conditions at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where afternoon solar heating often produces peaks in the mid-20s before convective activity and rain-cooled air intervene. Multiple private weather models and historical station data from Benito Juárez International Airport reinforced expectations that the official maximum would reach or exceed 26°C.
Realistic challenges to this outcome would include heavier-than-forecast afternoon rainfall or persistent low cloud cover suppressing temperatures below the lower end of the SMN range, though such deviations appear limited given the market’s near-certain pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,870Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 26°C-or-higher maximum for Mexico City on September 12, 2026, rests on the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast issued that morning, which projected a daytime high of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms.** This range aligned with typical late-summer conditions at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where afternoon solar heating often produces peaks in the mid-20s before convective activity and rain-cooled air intervene. Multiple private weather models and historical station data from Benito Juárez International Airport reinforced expectations that the official maximum would reach or exceed 26°C. Realistic challenges to this outcome would include heavier-than-forecast afternoon rainfall or persistent low cloud cover suppressing temperatures below the lower end of the SMN range, though such deviations appear limited given the market’s near-certain pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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