Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus among regional models indicate a daily maximum of 31°C on September 13 under moderate easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers that limit afternoon heating. Current surface observations hover near 30°C with dew points supporting humid conditions typical for mid-September, aligning closely with climatological norms for the season rather than extreme heat. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for 31°C reflects trader confidence in these verified measurements and minimal upside potential from clearing skies. A sudden dissipation of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could push readings to 32°C, though model runs show low likelihood of such shifts before evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
31°C 99.7%
33°C <1%
32°C <1%
28°C <1%
$103,412 Vol.
$103,412 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.7%
33°C <1%
32°C <1%
28°C <1%
$103,412 Vol.
$103,412 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
25°C or below
$678 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,505 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,113 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$17,369 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$11,671 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$11,780 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$18,533 Vol.
100%
32°C
$24,048 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$9,045 Vol.
1%
34°C
$2,516 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$153 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus among regional models indicate a daily maximum of 31°C on September 13 under moderate easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers that limit afternoon heating. Current surface observations hover near 30°C with dew points supporting humid conditions typical for mid-September, aligning closely with climatological norms for the season rather than extreme heat. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for 31°C reflects trader confidence in these verified measurements and minimal upside potential from clearing skies. A sudden dissipation of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could push readings to 32°C, though model runs show low likelihood of such shifts before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$103,412Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus among regional models indicate a daily maximum of 31°C on September 13 under moderate easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers that limit afternoon heating. Current surface observations hover near 30°C with dew points supporting humid conditions typical for mid-September, aligning closely with climatological norms for the season rather than extreme heat. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for 31°C reflects trader confidence in these verified measurements and minimal upside potential from clearing skies. A sudden dissipation of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could push readings to 32°C, though model runs show low likelihood of such shifts before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$103,412Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus among regional models indicate a daily maximum of 31°C on September 13 under moderate easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers that limit afternoon heating. Current surface observations hover near 30°C with dew points supporting humid conditions typical for mid-September, aligning closely with climatological norms for the season rather than extreme heat. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for 31°C reflects trader confidence in these verified measurements and minimal upside potential from clearing skies. A sudden dissipation of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could push readings to 32°C, though model runs show low likelihood of such shifts before evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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